USC vs. Colorado Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 30, 2023

Matt Rooney

Sep 30, 2023

The No. 8 USC Trojans (4-0) are massive, 22-point favorites on the road versus the Colorado Buffaloes (3-1) on Saturday, September 30, 2023. Each squad features a productive pass attack, with the Trojans third in passing yards per contest, and the Buffaloes fifth. The over/under is set at 74.5 in the contest.

USC vs. Colorado Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Trojans (-22)

Moneyline: Trojans (-1600), Buffaloes (+900)

Total: 74.5 points

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How to Watch USC vs. Colorado

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Folsom Field in Boulder, Colorado

TV: Fox

Trojans 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	377.3 (1509)	3
Rush yards	192 (768)	35
Points scored	55 (220)	1
Pass yards against	228 (912)	72
Rush yards against	136.5 (546)	74
Points allowed	20 (80)	44

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USC 2023 Betting Info

The Trojans have won two games against the spread this season.

In games it has played as at least 22-point favorites this season, USC is 2-2 against the spread.

In the Trojans’ four games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.

The average total the Trojans have had set in matchups this year is nine fewer points than this outing’s point total.

Trojans Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	65.5	66.7	62
Implied Total AVG	49.3	49.7	48
ATS Record	2-2-0	2-1-0	0-1-0
Over/Under Record	3-1-0	2-1-0	1-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	3-0	2-0	1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-0	0-0	0-0

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USC’s Offense vs. Colorado’s Defense (2023)

The Trojans have one of the best offenses in the FBS in yards per game (No. 3 at 569.3 YPG), and will be facing the 127th-ranked Buffaloes defense (475.8 ypg allowed).

USC ranks second with 6.9 yards per carry, compared to the 5.3 per rush Colorado gives up (123rd in the FBS).

The Trojans have the first-best offense in the FBS (55 points per game), and will be up against the 115th-ranked defense in college football (the Buffaloes concede 33.3 ppg).

The 377.3 passing yards per game USC averages ranks third in the FBS, while the 269.3 Colorado allows ranks 112th in college football.

Buffaloes 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	353.3 (1413)	5
Rush yards	55.8 (223)	131
Points scored	32.5 (130)	58
Pass yards against	269.3 (1077)	112
Rush yards against	206.5 (826)	122
Points allowed	33.3 (133)	115

Colorado 2023 Betting Info

The Buffaloes have posted two wins against the spread this year.

USC is 2-2 against the spread when favored by 22 points or more this season.

Two Buffaloes games (out of four) have gone over the point total this year.

The average over/under the Trojans have had set in matchups this year is nine less points than this outing’s point total.

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Buffaloes Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	54.8	54.8	54.8
Implied Total AVG	39.1	38	40.2
ATS Record	2-10-0	2-4-0	0-6-0
Over/Under Record	9-3-0	3-3-0	6-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	0-0	0-0	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-9	1-4	0-5

Colorado’s Offense vs. USC’s Defense (2023)

Colorado averages 353.3 passing yards per game (fifth in the FBS) compared to the 228 per game USC allows (72nd in college football).

The Buffaloes average 1.9 yards per carry (131st in college football) compared to the four per rushing attempt the Trojans allow (74th in the FBS).

Colorado has the 131st-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (55.8 yards per game). It faces USC’s 74th-ranked rushing defense, which allows 136.5 on the ground.

USC vs. Colorado Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for USC vs. Colorado sees the Buffaloes (+900 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the under at 74.5 points.

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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