Western Michigan vs. Ball State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – September 30, 2023

Matt Rooney

Sep 30, 2023

A pair of MAC teams meet when the Western Michigan Broncos (1-3) take on the Ball State Cardinals (1-3) on Saturday, September 30, 2023 at Waldo Stadium. The Broncos are favored by 1.5 points. An over/under of 50.5 points has been set for the contest.

Western Michigan vs. Ball State Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Broncos (-1.5)

Moneyline: Broncos (-122), Cardinals (+102)

Total: 50.5 points

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How to Watch Western Michigan vs. Ball State

When: Saturday, September 30, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Location: Waldo Stadium in Kalamazoo, Michigan

TV: ESPN+

Broncos 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	169 (676)	115
Rush yards	195.8 (783)	30
Points scored	20.8 (83)	113
Pass yards against	233.5 (934)	82
Rush yards against	181.8 (727)	112
Points allowed	38.8 (155)	128

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Western Michigan 2023 Betting Info

The Broncos have won two games against the spread this season.

In games it has played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, Western Michigan is 1-0 against the spread.

This season, games featuring the Broncos have gone over the point total twice.

The average over/under the Broncos have had set in matchups this year is 1.6 more points than this outing’s point total.

Broncos Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	51	52.7	49.3
Implied Total AVG	29.8	30	29.5
ATS Record	6-6-0	2-4-0	4-2-0
Over/Under Record	2-10-0	1-5-0	1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-2	1-2	1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	3-5	1-2	2-3

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Western Michigan’s Offense vs. Ball State’s Defense (2023)

The Broncos average 4.3 yards per rushing attempt (66th in the FBS), and the Cardinals give up 4.5 per carry (100th in college football).

Ball State’s defense allows 7.8 yards per pass attempt (90th in the FBS). Western Michigan’s offense averages 5.8 yards per pass (119th in college football).

The Broncos’ rushing game ranks 30th in the FBS (195.8 yards per game). The Cardinals give up 121.5 rushing yards per game (53rd).

Western Michigan’s 169 passing yards per game ranks 115th in the FBS. Ball State’s defense allows 262 through the air (106th in college football).

Cardinals 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	166.8 (667)	117
Rush yards	118.5 (474)	105
Points scored	16.3 (65)	125
Pass yards against	262 (1048)	106
Rush yards against	121.5 (486)	53
Points allowed	34 (136)	117

Ball State 2023 Betting Info

The Cardinals have one win against the spread this season.

When it has played as at least 1.5-point favorites this season, Western Michigan is 1-0 against the spread.

Two of the Cardinals’ four games in 2023 have gone over the point total.

The average total the Broncos have had set in games this season is 1.6 more points than this outing’s point total.

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Cardinals Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	56.9	54.3	59.6
Implied Total AVG	33.8	31.2	36.3
ATS Record	6-6-0	2-4-0	4-2-0
Over/Under Record	3-9-0	2-4-0	1-5-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-1	2-1	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	3-6	1-2	2-4

Ball State’s Offense vs. Western Michigan’s Defense (2023)

Ball State averages 166.8 passing yards per game (117th in the FBS). It will be facing the Broncos’ defense which ranks 82nd, allowing 233.5 yards per game through the air.

Ball State averages 285.3 yards per game to rank 127th in the FBS. They will be up against a Western Michigan defense ranked 110th, allowing 415.3 yards per game.

Western Michigan vs. Ball State Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Western Michigan vs. Ball State sees the Broncos (-122 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 50.5 points.

How to Bet on Western Michigan vs. Ball State

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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