Fresno State vs. Utah State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 13, 2023

The Fresno State Bulldogs (5-1), with the 25th-ranked scoring defense in the country, will visit the Utah State Aggies (3-3) and the 15th-ranked scoring offense, on Friday, October 13, 2023. The Aggies are 5.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 56 in the contest.

Fresno State vs. Utah State Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Bulldogs (-5.5)
  • Moneyline: Bulldogs (-225), Aggies (+185)
  • Total: 56 points
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    How to Watch Fresno State vs. Utah State

  • When: Friday, October 13, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Location: Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah
  • TV: CBS Sports
  • Bulldogs 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 300 (1800) 18
    Rush yards 108.3 (650) 118
    Points scored 33.5 (201) 29
    Pass yards against 190.5 (1143) 27
    Rush yards against 99.8 (599) 19
    Points allowed 18.2 (109) 25

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    Fresno State 2023 Betting Info

  • The Bulldogs have won three games against the spread this season, while failing to cover three times.
  • In games it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, Fresno State is 1-3 against the spread.
  • Bulldogs games have hit the over three out of six times this season.
  • The average point total in Bulldogs games this year is 6.2 fewer points than the over/under of 56 in this matchup.
  • The Bulldogs are 1-2 against the spread over their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
  • In all of those games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The last three Aggies games averaged 55.2 total points, 0.8 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Bulldogs Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 49.8 53.8 45.8
    Implied Total AVG 33 41 25
    ATS Record 3-3-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
    Over/Under Record 3-2-1 2-1-0 1-1-1
    Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

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    Fresno State’s Offense vs. Utah State’s Defense (2023)

  • The Bulldogs have the 37th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 33.5 points per game. The Aggies’ defense is 112th, giving up 32.2 points per contest.
  • Fresno State is 14th in the FBS in third-down percentage (50%) and will be facing the 82nd-ranked Utah State defense in that category (39.6%).
  • The 300 passing yards per game the Bulldogs average ranks them 18th in the FBS, while the 241.2 the Aggies give up ranks them 86th in college football.
  • Fresno State’s offense ranks 59th in the FBS in yards per game (408.3), while Utah State ranks 106th in yards allowed (407.7).
  • Aggies 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 296 (1776) 20
    Rush yards 166.8 (1001) 54
    Points scored 38.2 (229) 12
    Pass yards against 241.2 (1447) 86
    Rush yards against 166.5 (999) 104
    Points allowed 32.2 (193) 112

    Utah State 2023 Betting Info

  • Against the spread, the Aggies are 3-3-0 this year.
  • When it has played as at least 5.5-point favorites this season, Fresno State is 1-3 against the spread.
  • There have been five Aggies games (out of six) that hit the over this year.
  • The Bulldogs’ average point total in outings this season is 49.8, 6.2 points below the over/under in this game.
  • The Bulldogs are 1-2 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.
  • Utah State and its opponents have hit the over all three times in those games.
  • The past three Aggies games averaged 0.8 fewer points (55.2) than this matchup’s over/under.
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    Aggies Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 52.8 59 46.5
    Implied Total AVG 32.3 35 29.7
    ATS Record 3-3-0 2-1-0 1-2-0
    Over/Under Record 5-1-0 3-0-0 2-1-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 0-0 1-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 1-1 0-2

    Utah State’s Offense vs. Fresno State’s Defense (2023)

  • The Aggies convert 38.1% of their third-down plays (84th in college football). The Bulldogs’ defense gives up third-down conversions at a 34.1% clip (39th).
  • Utah State’s 166.8 rushing yards per game is good for 54th in the FBS. Fresno State’s defense gives up 99.8 on the ground (19th in college football).
  • Fresno State vs. Utah State Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Fresno State vs. Utah State sees the Bulldogs (-225 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we pick the over at 56 points.

    How to Bet on Fresno State vs. Utah State

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    For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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