Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 14, 2023

The No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (6-0) and the Vanderbilt Commodores (2-5) will meet in a matchup of SEC teams on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Vanderbilt Stadium. The Commodores will need to play a near perfect game to pull off an upset, oddsmakers have them as 32.5-point underdogs. The over/under for the contest is 55 points.

Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Bulldogs (-32.5)
  • Moneyline: Bulldogs (), Commodores ()
  • Total: 55 points
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    How to Watch Georgia vs. Vanderbilt

  • When: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET
  • Location: Vanderbilt Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee
  • TV: CBS
  • Bulldogs 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 349.7 (2098) 5
    Rush yards 152.5 (915) 68
    Points scored 40.7 (244) 9
    Pass yards against 166.2 (997) 12
    Rush yards against 104 (624) 22
    Points allowed 13 (78) 10

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    Georgia 2023 Betting Info

  • The Bulldogs have covered just once in six chances against the spread this season.
  • Georgia is 0-1-1 against the spread when favored by 32.5 points or more this season.
  • In the Bulldogs’ six games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total three times.
  • The average total the Bulldogs have had set in games this year is three less points than this outing’s point total.
  • The Bulldogs have covered the spread once in their past three contests while putting together a 3-0 record straight-up in those games.
  • The final combined score of the last three Vanderbilt games has gone over the set total every time.
  • The Commodores’ past three outings have ended with an average of 51.5 points scored. That’s 3.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Bulldogs Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 56.3 57.8 52.6
    Implied Total AVG 41.2 42.4 38.3
    ATS Record 7-7-0 5-5-0 2-2-0
    Over/Under Record 7-7-0 6-4-0 1-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 12-0 8-0 4-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-0 0-0 0-0

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    Georgia’s Offense vs. Vanderbilt’s Defense (2023)

  • The Commodores allow third-down conversions on 46.5% of their opponents’ attempts (123rd in the FBS). The Bulldogs have a 54.1% third-down conversion rate, which ranks fourth in college football.
  • Vanderbilt’s defense gives up 263.7 yards through the air per game (113th in the FBS). Georgia’s 349.7 passing yards per game is fifth in college football.
  • The Bulldogs have the 10th-ranked offense in the FBS (40.7 points per game), and will be facing the Commodores’ 118th-ranked defense (34 ppg).
  • Georgia has the eighth-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (502.2). They face a Vanderbilt defense ranked 110th, giving up 421.1 yards per game.
  • Commodores 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 274.4 (1921) 37
    Rush yards 92.9 (650) 125
    Points scored 28.9 (202) 31
    Pass yards against 263.7 (1846) 113
    Rush yards against 157.4 (1102) 93
    Points allowed 34 (238) 118

    Vanderbilt 2023 Betting Info

  • The Commodores have no wins against the spread this year.
  • Georgia has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 32.5 points or more this season (0-1-1).
  • This year, five of the Commodores’ six games have gone over the point total.
  • The average point total in Bulldogs games this season is three fewer points than the over/under of 55 in this matchup.
  • The Bulldogs are 1-2 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • In all three of those games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
  • The Commodores’ last three games have ended with an average of 51.5 points scored. That’s 3.5 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
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    Commodores Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 53.6 52.3 54.8
    Implied Total AVG 34.8 36.7 33
    ATS Record 0-6-0 0-3-0 0-3-0
    Over/Under Record 5-1-0 3-0-0 2-1-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-0 0-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-2 0-2

    Vanderbilt’s Offense vs. Georgia’s Defense (2023)

  • The Commodores have the No. 125 rushing offense in the FBS (92.9 yards per game) going up against one of college football’s toughest defenses, the 22nd-ranked Bulldogs (104 yards allowed per game).
  • The Commodores average 367.3 yards per game to rank 87th in the FBS. They will be up against a Bulldogs defense ranked 11th, giving up 270.2 yards per game.
  • Vanderbilt converts 38.7% of its third-down plays (74th in college football). Georgia’s defense gives up third-down conversions at a 23.8% clip (third).
  • Georgia vs. Vanderbilt Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Georgia vs. Vanderbilt sees the Bulldogs ( on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we pick the over at 55 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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