Kentucky vs. Missouri Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 14, 2023

Matt Rooney

Oct 14, 2023

The No. 24 Kentucky Wildcats (5-1) and the Missouri Tigers (5-1) will meet in a matchup of SEC teams on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Kroger Field. The betting information foretells a close game, with the Wildcats favored by 2 points. An over/under of 50.5 points has been set for the outing.

Kentucky vs. Missouri Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Wildcats (-2)

Moneyline: Wildcats (-125), Tigers (+105)

Total: 50.5 points

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How to Watch Kentucky vs. Missouri

When: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET

Location: Kroger Field in Lexington, Kentucky

TV: SECN

Wildcats 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	209.5 (1257)	93
Rush yards	151.7 (910)	70
Points scored	33 (198)	35
Pass yards against	257 (1542)	103
Rush yards against	92 (552)	14
Points allowed	21.2 (127)	42

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Kentucky 2023 Betting Info

The Wildcats have put together a 4-2-0 ATS record so far this year.

Kentucky has a 3-1 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.

Wildcats games have hit the over four out of six times this season.

The average point total for Wildcats games this year is 0.2 less points than the total of 50.5 in this matchup.

The Wildcats are 2-1 against the spread over their last three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.

In all of those games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.

The last three Tigers games averaged 56.3 total points, 5.8 more points than this matchup’s point total.

Wildcats Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	50.3	51	48.8
Implied Total AVG	34.8	36.5	31.5
ATS Record	4-2-0	3-1-0	1-1-0
Over/Under Record	4-2-0	2-2-0	2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	4-0	3-0	1-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-1	0-0	0-1

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Kentucky’s Offense vs. Missouri’s Defense (2023)

Kentucky has the 70th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (151.7 yards per game). It takes on Missouri’s 27th-ranked rushing defense, which allows 107.7 on the ground.

The Wildcats are 90th in college football, racking up 361.2 yards per game, while the Tigers rank 50th in yards allowed (353.3).

Kentucky has the 42nd-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 33 points per game. Missouri’s defense is 70th, allowing 25.5 points per contest.

Tigers 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	319.5 (1917)	12
Rush yards	144.5 (867)	80
Points scored	33.2 (199)	34
Pass yards against	245.7 (1474)	93
Rush yards against	107.7 (646)	27
Points allowed	25.5 (153)	70

Missouri 2023 Betting Info

Against the spread, the Tigers are 3-3-0 this season.

Kentucky is 3-1 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.

There have been five Tigers games (out of six) that hit the over this year.

The average point total in Wildcats games this season is 0.2 fewer points than the total of 50.5 in this matchup.

The Wildcats have covered the spread twice in their past three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.

The final combined score of the last three Missouri games has surpassed the set total every time.

The Tigers’ last three outings have ended with an average of 56.3 points scored. That’s 5.8 more points than this contest’s over/under.

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Tigers Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	52.5	52.8	52
Implied Total AVG	33.5	35	31
ATS Record	7-6-0	4-4-0	3-2-0
Over/Under Record	4-9-0	3-5-0	1-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-1	2-1	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	2-6	1-2	1-4

Missouri’s Offense vs. Kentucky’s Defense (2023)

The 319.5 passing yards per game the Tigers average ranks them 12th in the FBS, while the 257 the Wildcats give up ranks them 103rd in college football.

Missouri’s 144.5 rushing yards per game is good for 80th in the FBS. Kentucky’s defense allows 92 on the ground (14th in college football).

The Tigers average 4.2 yards per carry (71st in college football) compared to the 3.1 per rushing attempt the Wildcats allow (15th in the FBS).

Missouri averages 9.9 yards per pass attempt (seventh in the FBS), and Kentucky gives up seven per pass (53rd in college football).

Kentucky vs. Missouri Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Kentucky vs. Missouri is the Wildcats (-125 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the over at 50.5 points.

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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