TCU vs. BYU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 14, 2023

Matt Rooney

Oct 14, 2023

The TCU Horned Frogs (3-3) will face off against a fellow Big 12 opponent, the BYU Cougars (4-1) in a matchup on Saturday, October 14, 2023 at Amon G. Carter Stadium. The Cougars will attempt to pull off an upset as 5-point underdogs. The over/under in this contest is 52.5 points.

TCU vs. BYU Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Horned Frogs (-5)

Moneyline: Horned Frogs (-205), Cougars (+170)

Total: 52.5 points

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How to Watch TCU vs. BYU

When: Saturday, October 14, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium in Fort Worth, Texas

TV: ESPN

Horned Frogs 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	280.3 (1682)	28
Rush yards	192.2 (1153)	29
Points scored	31.3 (188)	45
Pass yards against	241.7 (1450)	87
Rush yards against	126.7 (760)	48
Points allowed	22 (132)	46

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TCU 2023 Betting Info

The Horned Frogs have a record of 2-4-0 against the spread this season.

TCU has a 2-4 record against the spread in games it was favored by 5 points or more this season.

Games featuring the Horned Frogs have hit the over just once this season.

The average point total in Horned Frogs games this season is 6.3 more points than the over/under of 52.5 in this matchup.

The Horned Frogs have covered the spread once in their past three contests while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.

BYU and its opponents have hit the over all three times in those games.

The Cougars’ past three games have ended with an average of 50.2 points scored. That’s 2.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Horned Frogs Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	58.8	59.1	58.3
Implied Total AVG	37.7	40	33
ATS Record	2-4-0	1-3-0	1-1-0
Over/Under Record	1-5-0	1-3-0	0-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-3	1-2	1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-0	0-0	0-0

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TCU’s Offense vs. BYU’s Defense (2023)

TCU’s rushing game ranks 29th in the FBS (192.2 yards per game). BYU allows 152.4 rushing yards per game (82nd).

TCU has the 17th-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (472.5). They will be facing a BYU defense ranked 60th, giving up 360.8 yards per game.

Cougars 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	255.8 (1279)	51
Rush yards	62.8 (314)	132
Points scored	31 (155)	80
Pass yards against	208.4 (1042)	37
Rush yards against	152.4 (762)	82
Points allowed	22.4 (112)	48

BYU 2023 Betting Info

The Cougars have won twice against the spread this season.

TCU has a 2-4 record against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

Out of five Cougars games so far this year, four have hit the over.

The average over/under the Horned Frogs have had in their games this season is 6.3 more points than this particular game’s point total.

The Horned Frogs are 1-2 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.

In each of those games, the final combined score has surpassed the set total.

The Cougars’ last three outings have ended with an average of 50.2 points scored. That’s 2.3 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

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Cougars Home/Away Splits (2022)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	48.7	46.7	51.8
Implied Total AVG	31.2	32	30
ATS Record	2-3-0	1-2-0	1-1-0
Over/Under Record	4-1-0	2-1-0	2-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	2-0	2-0	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-1	0-0	1-1

BYU’s Offense vs. TCU’s Defense (2023)

The Cougars average 2.3 yards per carry (132nd in college football) compared to the 3.5 per attempt the Horned Frogs allow (40th in the FBS).

BYU’s 62.8 rushing yards per game is good for 132nd in the FBS. TCU’s defense gives up 126.7 on the ground (48th in college football).

The Cougars are 119th in college football, gaining 318.6 yards per game, while the Horned Frogs rank 66th in yards allowed (368.3).

TCU vs. BYU Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for TCU vs. BYU sees the Horned Frogs (-205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we recommend betting on the over at 52.5 points.

How to Bet on TCU vs. BYU

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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