Hawaii vs. New Mexico Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – October 21, 2023

The Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-5) will face off against their MWC-rival, the New Mexico Lobos (2-4) in a matchup on Saturday, October 21, 2023 at University Stadium. The betting information foretells a close game, with the Rainbow Warriors favored by 2 points. The over/under in this contest is 59.5 points.

Hawaii vs. New Mexico Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Rainbow Warriors (-2)
  • Moneyline: Rainbow Warriors (-130), Lobos (+110)
  • Total: 59.5 points
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    How to Watch Hawaii vs. New Mexico

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 6:00 PM ET
  • Location: University Stadium in Albuquerque, New Mexico
  • TV: SPEC
  • Rainbow Warriors 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 299.9 (2099) 21
    Rush yards 57.7 (404) 133
    Points scored 23.9 (167) 86
    Pass yards against 210.3 (1472) 42
    Rush yards against 170.4 (1193) 106
    Points allowed 35.6 (249) 123

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    Hawaii 2023 Betting Info

  • The Rainbow Warriors have won just one game against the spread this season.
  • In games it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Hawaii is 1-1 against the spread.
  • Rainbow Warriors games have hit the over three out of six times this season.
  • The average point total for Rainbow Warriors games this season is 1.4 less points than the total of 59.5 in this matchup.
  • The Rainbow Warriors have not covered a spread (0-3) while going 1-2 overall during their past three contests.
  • In all three of those games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
  • The past three Lobos games averaged 11.7 fewer points (47.8) than this matchup’s point total.
  • Rainbow Warriors Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.1 55.1 64
    Implied Total AVG 35 30.5 44
    ATS Record 1-5-0 1-3-0 0-2-0
    Over/Under Record 3-3-0 2-2-0 1-1-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-2 0-1

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    Hawaii’s Offense vs. New Mexico’s Defense (2023)

  • The 299.9 passing yards per game the Rainbow Warriors average ranks them 21st in the FBS, while the 240.5 the Lobos allow ranks them 88th in college football.
  • Hawaii’s passing attack averages 7.2 yards per pass attempt (77th in the FBS). New Mexico allows 9.4 per pass (130th in college football).
  • Hawaii is 108th in the FBS in third-down percentage (34.4%), and will be facing the 81st-ranked New Mexico third-down defense (39.7%).
  • Lobos 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 221 (1326) 81
    Rush yards 170 (1020) 52
    Points scored 27.8 (167) 86
    Pass yards against 240.5 (1443) 88
    Rush yards against 185.7 (1114) 117
    Points allowed 34.5 (207) 120

    New Mexico 2023 Betting Info

  • Against the spread, the Lobos are 3-3-0 this year.
  • When it has played as at least 2-point favorites this season, Hawaii is 1-1 against the spread.
  • This season, five of the Lobos’ six games have hit the over.
  • The average point total for Rainbow Warriors games this year is 1.4 less points than the over/under of 59.5 in this matchup.
  • The Rainbow Warriors are winless against the spread over their past three games, and have a 1-2 straight-up record in those contest.
  • The final combined score of the past three New Mexico games has surpassed the set total every time.
  • The Lobos’ past three outings have ended with an average of 47.8 points scored. That’s 11.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
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    Lobos Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 49.4 52.7 46.2
    Implied Total AVG 31.7 30.7 32.7
    ATS Record 3-3-0 1-2-0 2-1-0
    Over/Under Record 5-1-0 2-1-0 3-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-1 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-2 0-1 1-1

    New Mexico’s Offense vs. Hawaii’s Defense (2023)

  • New Mexico ranks 28th with five yards per carry, compared to the 4.8 per rush Hawaii gives up (110th in the FBS).
  • Hawaii gives up third-down conversions on 45.2% of its opponents’ attempts (113th in the FBS). New Mexico has a 41.7% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 55th in college football.
  • Hawaii vs. New Mexico Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Hawaii vs. New Mexico is the Rainbow Warriors (-130 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we prefer the over at 59.5 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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