Texas vs. Houston Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 21, 2023

The No. 8 Texas Longhorns (5-1) will face off against their Big 12-rival, the Houston Cougars (3-3) in a matchup on Saturday, October 21, 2023 at TDECU Stadium. The Cougars will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 23-point underdogs. The over/under in this outing is 60.5 points.

Texas vs. Houston Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Longhorns (-23)
  • Moneyline: Longhorns (-2100), Cougars (+1100)
  • Total: 60.5 points
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    How to Watch Texas vs. Houston

  • When: Saturday, October 21, 2023 at 4:00 PM ET
  • Location: TDECU Stadium in Houston, Texas
  • TV: Fox
  • Longhorns 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 300.7 (1804) 20
    Rush yards 185.8 (1115) 33
    Points scored 35 (210) 48
    Pass yards against 211 (1266) 43
    Rush yards against 112.3 (674) 28
    Points allowed 16.3 (98) 16

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    Texas 2023 Betting Info

  • The Longhorns have compiled a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Texas is winless against the spread (0-2) when playing as at least 23-point favorites.
  • This season, games featuring the Longhorns have gone over the point total twice.
  • The average over/under the Longhorns have had set in matchups this year is 5.2 fewer points than this outing’s point total.
  • The Longhorns are 2-1 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • In all three of those games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The Cougars’ past three games have ended with an average of 46.3 points scored. That’s 14.2 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
  • Longhorns Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 60.2 59.3 61.3
    Implied Total AVG 35.8 37.6 33.8
    ATS Record 8-5-0 5-2-0 3-3-0
    Over/Under Record 6-7-0 2-5-0 4-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 8-4 5-1 3-3
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-1 0-0

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    Texas’ Offense vs. Houston’s Defense (2023)

  • The Longhorns average 486.5 yards per game to rank 14th in the FBS, while the Cougars concede 429.2 per game (12th-most in college football).
  • Texas averages 300.7 passing yards per game (20th in the FBS) compared to the 267 per game Houston gives up (117th in college football).
  • The Longhorns rank 16th in the FBS at 9.3 yards per pass attempt. The Cougars allow 8.1 yards per passing play (109th in college football).
  • Texas has the 28th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 35 points per game. Houston’s defense is 107th, allowing 31.3 points per contest.
  • Cougars 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 276.5 (1659) 34
    Rush yards 134 (804) 94
    Points scored 29.7 (178) 77
    Pass yards against 267 (1602) 117
    Rush yards against 162.2 (973) 98
    Points allowed 31.3 (188) 107

    Houston 2023 Betting Info

  • The Cougars have beaten the spread three times in six games.
  • Texas has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 23 points or more this season (0-2).
  • Out of six Cougars games so far this year, four have gone over the total.
  • The Longhorns’ average point total in outings this year is 55.3, 5.2 points less than the total in this game.
  • The Longhorns are 2-1 against the spread and 2-1 overall in their past three games.
  • Houston and its opponents have combined to hit the over all three times in those games.
  • The past three Cougars games averaged 14.2 fewer points (46.3) than this matchup’s point total.
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    Cougars Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 52.3 52.5 51.8
    Implied Total AVG 29.5 29.3 30
    ATS Record 3-3-0 3-1-0 0-2-0
    Over/Under Record 4-2-0 2-2-0 2-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-1 1-0 0-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 2-1 0-1

    Houston’s Offense vs. Texas’ Defense (2023)

  • The Cougars have the 94th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (134 yards per game). They face the Longhorns’ 28th-ranked rushing defense, which gives up 112.3 on the ground per game.
  • The Cougars rank 83rd in the FBS averaging four yards per carry. The Longhorns allow 3.4 per rushing attempt (31st in college football).
  • Texas has the 16th-ranked scoring defense (16.3 points per game). Houston’s 63rd-ranked scoring offense averages 29.7 points per game.
  • Texas vs. Houston Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Texas vs. Houston sees the Longhorns (-2100 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the under at 60.5 points.

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    For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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