Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 28, 2023

The Miami Hurricanes (5-2) will square off against the Virginia Cavaliers (2-5) in ACC action on Saturday, October 28, 2023 at Hard Rock Stadium. The Cavaliers are currently heavy, 19.5-point underdogs. The over/under in this outing is 48 points.

Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Hurricanes (-19.5)
  • Moneyline: Hurricanes (-1450), Cavaliers (+850)
  • Total: 48 points
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    How to Watch Miami (FL) vs. Virginia

  • When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida
  • TV: ACCN
  • Hurricanes 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 288 (2016) 24
    Rush yards 194.4 (1361) 22
    Points scored 36.3 (254) 24
    Pass yards against 234 (1638) 77
    Rush yards against 78.1 (547) 7
    Points allowed 19.1 (134) 25

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    Miami (FL) 2023 Betting Info

  • The Hurricanes have covered four times in seven chances against the spread this season.
  • Miami (FL) is 1-1 against the spread when favored by 19.5 points or more this season.
  • A total of four out of seven Hurricanes games this season have gone over the point total.
  • The Hurricanes’ average total in outings this season has been 51.7, 3.7 points higher than the total in this particular game.
  • The Hurricanes have covered the spread once in their past three matchups while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • Virginia and its opponents have hit the over once in those games.
  • The last three Cavaliers games averaged 50 total points, two more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • Hurricanes Home/Away Splits (2022)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 51.7 51.8 51.5
    Implied Total AVG 34.9 35.8 32.5
    ATS Record 4-3-0 3-2-0 1-1-0
    Over/Under Record 4-3-0 2-3-0 2-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 2-1 1-1 1-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 2-1 2-0 0-1

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    Miami (FL)’s Offense vs. Virginia’s Defense (2023)

  • Miami (FL) has the 16th-ranked offense in the FBS, averaging 36.3 points per game. Virginia’s defense is 110th, giving up 31.1 points per contest.
  • The Cavaliers give up third-down conversions on 38% of their opponents’ attempts (73rd in the FBS). The Hurricanes have a 46.9% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 16th in college football.
  • Miami (FL) averages 5.5 yards per rushing attempt (12th in the FBS), and Virginia gives up four per carry (58th in college football).
  • Cavaliers 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 258.6 (1810) 45
    Rush yards 145.7 (1020) 82
    Points scored 23.6 (165) 103
    Pass yards against 208.3 (1458) 43
    Rush yards against 144.3 (1010) 67
    Points allowed 31.1 (218) 110

    Virginia 2023 Betting Info

  • The Cavaliers’ record against the spread is 5-2-0.
  • Miami (FL) has a 1-1 record against the spread when favored by 19.5 points or more this season.
  • The Cavaliers have played seven games this season, and four of them have hit the over.
  • The average total in Hurricanes games this season is 3.7 more points than the total of 48 in this game.
  • The Hurricanes have covered the spread once in their last three contests while putting up a 1-2 record straight-up in those games.
  • Virginia and its opponents have hit the over in one of those games.
  • The past three Cavaliers games averaged two more points (50) than this matchup’s point total.
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    Cavaliers Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 48.6 46.1 52
    Implied Total AVG 31.4 29.8 33.7
    ATS Record 5-2-0 3-1-0 2-1-0
    Over/Under Record 4-2-1 2-2-0 2-0-1
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-0 1-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 0-3 1-2

    Virginia’s Offense vs. Miami (FL)’s Defense (2023)

  • The Cavaliers average 3.6 yards per carry (107th in college football) compared to the 2.7 per rushing attempt the Hurricanes allow (sixth in the FBS).
  • Miami (FL) allows 78.1 rushing yards per game (seventh in the FBS). Virginia’s running game ranks 82nd in college football (145.7).
  • The Cavaliers’ offense is 96th in the FBS at 23.6 points per game. They will be facing the Hurricanes’ defense which allows 19.1 per game (25th in college football).
  • Miami (FL) vs. Virginia Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Miami (FL) vs. Virginia is the Hurricanes (-1450 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we pick the over at 48 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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