Texas vs. BYU Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – October 28, 2023

The No. 7 Texas Longhorns (6-1) and the BYU Cougars (5-2) will meet in a matchup of Big 12 teams on Saturday, October 28, 2023 at Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium. The Cougars will need to play a near perfect game to pull off an upset, Vegas has them as 20.5-point underdogs. An over/under of 48.5 points has been set for the outing.

Texas vs. BYU Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Longhorns (-20.5)
  • Moneyline: Longhorns (-1200), Cougars (+750)
  • Total: 48.5 points
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    How to Watch Texas vs. BYU

  • When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Darrell K. Royal Texas Memorial Stadium in Austin, Texas
  • TV: ABC
  • Longhorns 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 289 (2023) 23
    Rush yards 179.7 (1258) 38
    Points scored 34.4 (241) 33
    Pass yards against 234.9 (1644) 79
    Rush yards against 98.3 (688) 16
    Points allowed 17.4 (122) 17

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    Texas 2023 Betting Info

  • The Longhorns have put together a 3-4-0 record against the spread this season.
  • Texas is winless against the spread (0-3) when playing as at least 20.5-point favorites.
  • This season, games featuring the Longhorns have gone over the point total twice.
  • The average total in Longhorns games this year is 7.5 more points than the over/under of 48.5 in this game.
  • The Longhorns are 1-2 against the spread and 2-1 overall in their last three matchups.
  • In two of those three games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The past three Cougars games averaged 1.2 more points (49.7) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Longhorns Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 56 56 56
    Implied Total AVG 37.9 42 34.8
    ATS Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
    Over/Under Record 2-5-0 0-3-0 2-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 4-1 2-0 2-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-0 0-0 1-0

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    Texas’ Offense vs. BYU’s Defense (2023)

  • The Longhorns’ offense ranks 15th in the FBS in yards per game (468.7), while the Cougars rank 96th in yards allowed (396.7).
  • The 289 passing yards per game Texas averages ranks 23rd in the FBS, while the 246.4 BYU gives up ranks 100th in college football.
  • Texas has the 38th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (179.7 yards per game), and will be facing the 80th-ranked defense in that category, as BYU allows 150.3 per game.
  • Cougars 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 222.6 (1558) 73
    Rush yards 79.3 (555) 132
    Points scored 27.6 (193) 81
    Pass yards against 246.4 (1725) 100
    Rush yards against 150.3 (1052) 80
    Points allowed 24.3 (170) 61

    BYU 2023 Betting Info

  • The Cougars have beaten the spread three times in seven games.
  • Texas has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 20.5 points or more this season (0-3).
  • There have been five Cougars games (out of seven) that went over the total this season.
  • The average total for Longhorns games this season is 7.5 more points than the total of 48.5 in this game.
  • The Longhorns have covered the spread once in their last three matchups while putting together a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.
  • Two times in those three games, the final combined score has gone over the set total.
  • The past three Cougars games averaged 1.2 more points (49.7) than this matchup’s over/under.
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    Cougars Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 49.4 47.4 52
    Implied Total AVG 30.1 30.5 29.7
    ATS Record 3-4-0 2-2-0 1-2-0
    Over/Under Record 5-2-0 2-2-0 3-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 2-2 1-0 1-2

    BYU’s Offense vs. Texas’ Defense (2023)

  • The Cougars are 123rd in the FBS in third-down percentage (30.8%), and will be looking to stay on the field against the seventh-ranked defense in that category, owned by the Longhorns (28.7%).
  • The matchups don’t favor the BYU offense in this game, with the No. 132 rushing attack in the FBS (79.3 yards per game), up against the No. 16 defense in that category. Texas allows 98.3 yards per game on the ground.
  • The Cougars average 2.8 yards per carry (130th in college football) compared to the 3.2 per attempt the Longhorns give up (19th in the FBS).
  • BYU averages 301.9 yards per game to rank 124th in the FBS. They face a Texas defense ranked 35th, allowing 333.1 yards per game.
  • Texas vs. BYU Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Texas vs. BYU is the Longhorns (-1200 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we prefer the over at 48.5 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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