UTSA vs. East Carolina Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – October 28, 2023

The UTSA Roadrunners (4-3) will face off against their AAC-rival, the East Carolina Pirates (1-6) in a matchup on Saturday, October 28, 2023 at the Alamodome. The Pirates will need their best effort to pull off an upset, they are currently 18-point underdogs. The over/under is set at 47.5 in the outing.

UTSA vs. East Carolina Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Roadrunners (-18)
  • Moneyline: Roadrunners (-1000), Pirates (+650)
  • Total: 47.5 points
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    How to Watch UTSA vs. East Carolina

  • When: Saturday, October 28, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Alamodome in San Antonio, Texas
  • TV: ESPN+
  • Roadrunners 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 238.4 (1669) 59
    Rush yards 156.1 (1093) 66
    Points scored 29.0 (203) 78
    Pass yards against 241.1 (1688) 93
    Rush yards against 130.1 (911) 51
    Points allowed 25.1 (176) 67

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    UTSA 2023 Betting Info

  • The Roadrunners are 3-4-0 ATS this season.
  • This season, games featuring the Roadrunners have hit the over twice.
  • The average total the Roadrunners have had in their games this season is 10.8 more points than this particular game’s point total.
  • The Roadrunners have covered the spread in each of their past three matchups while going 3-0 overall.
  • In all of those games, the final combined score fell short of the set total.
  • The last three Pirates games averaged 44.7 total points, 2.8 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Roadrunners Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.3 58.2 58.4
    Implied Total AVG 34.4 34.0 34.8
    ATS Record 3-4-0 1-2-0 2-2-0
    Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-2-0 1-3-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 4-2 2-1 2-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-1 0-0 0-1

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    UTSA’s Offense vs. East Carolina’s Defense (2023)

  • The Roadrunners convert 46.2% of their third downs (19th in college football), while the Pirates’ defense ranks 71st in that category (37.9%)
  • The Roadrunners’ offense is 71st in college football averaging 394.6 yards per game, while East Carolina ranks 29th in yards allowed (329.7).
  • Pirates 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 161.0 (1127) 119
    Rush yards 113.0 (791) 115
    Points scored 17.4 (122) 129
    Pass yards against 210.3 (1472) 48
    Rush yards against 119.4 (836) 34
    Points allowed 24.1 (169) 59

    East Carolina 2023 Betting Info

  • The Pirates have two wins against the spread this season.
  • The Pirates have played two games (out of seven) which finished over the total this season.
  • The Roadrunners’ average total in outings this season has been 58.3, 10.8 points higher than the total in this particular game.
  • The Roadrunners are a perfect 3-0 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
  • East Carolina and its opponents did not combine to hit the over in any of those games.
  • The Pirates’ past three games have ended with an average of 44.7 points scored. That’s 2.8 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.
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    Pirates Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 47.2 45.9 49.0
    Implied Total AVG 29.4 27.0 32.7
    ATS Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
    Over/Under Record 2-5-0 1-3-0 1-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 0-1 0-1 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-4 0-2 0-2

    East Carolina’s Offense vs. UTSA’s Defense (2023)

  • The Roadrunners’ defense allows 6.8 yards per pass attempt (42nd in the FBS). The Pirates’ offense averages 4.7 yards per pass (133rd in college football).
  • East Carolina averages 3.4 yards per carry (115th in college football) compared to the 3.5 per attempt UTSA gives up (31st in the FBS).
  • The Pirates’ 113.0 rushing yards per game is good for 115th in the FBS. The Roadrunners’ defense allows 130.1 on the ground (51st in college football).
  • The Pirates’ offense is 130th in college football averaging 274.0 yards per game, while UTSA ranks 66th in yards allowed (371.3).
  • UTSA vs. East Carolina Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for UTSA vs. East Carolina sees the Roadrunners (-1000 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we recommend betting on the over at 47.5 points.

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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