Tennessee vs. UConn Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – November 4, 2023

Matt Rooney

Nov 04, 2023

The No. 19 Tennessee Volunteers (6-2) play the UConn Huskies (1-7) on Saturday, November 4, 2023 at Neyland Stadium. The Volunteers are without a doubt the favorites in this one, with the line posted at 35 points. The over/under in this outing is 55 points.

Tennessee vs. UConn Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Volunteers (-35)

Moneyline: Volunteers (), Huskies ()

Total: 55 points

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How to Watch Tennessee vs. UConn

When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 12:00 PM ET

Location: Neyland Stadium in Knoxville, Tennessee

TV: SECN

Volunteers 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	208.5 (1668)	89
Rush yards	198.4 (1587)	20
Points scored	31.8 (254)	49
Pass yards against	235.6 (1885)	81
Rush yards against	129.4 (1035)	47
Points allowed	20.4 (163)	31

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Tennessee 2023 Betting Info

The Volunteers are 5-3-0 ATS this season.

Tennessee has not yet covered the spread as favorites of 35 points or more this season (0-1).

The Volunteers and their opponent have combined to hit the over four out of eight times this season.

The Volunteers’ average point total in matchups this year is 56.1, 1.1 points higher than the total in this game.

The Volunteers have covered the spread twice in their last three matchups while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.

The final combined score of the last three UConn games surpassed the set total once.

The Huskies’ last three games have ended with an average of 51.2 points scored. That’s 3.8 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Volunteers Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	56.1	59.9	52.3
Implied Total AVG	36.5	41.0	32.0
ATS Record	5-3-0	3-1-0	2-2-0
Over/Under Record	4-4-0	1-3-0	3-1-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	5-1	3-0	2-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-1	0-0	0-1

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Tennessee’s Offense vs. UConn’s Defense (2023)

Tennessee has the 20th-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (198.4 yards per game), and will be facing the 97th-ranked defense in that category, as UConn allows 166.8 per game.

The Huskies give up third-down conversions on 44.7% of their opponents’ attempts (113th in the FBS). The Volunteers have a 41.3% third-down conversion rate, which ranks 56th in college football.

Tennessee averages 5.2 yards per rushing attempt (19th in the FBS), and UConn allows 4.3 per carry (76th in college football).

Huskies 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	181.0 (1448)	112
Rush yards	135.4 (1083)	93
Points scored	19.8 (158)	119
Pass yards against	237.3 (1898)	88
Rush yards against	166.8 (1334)	97
Points allowed	29.3 (234)	99

UConn 2023 Betting Info

The Huskies have covered the spread four times in eight games.

Tennessee is 0-1 against the spread when favored by 35 points or more this season.

Out of eight Huskies games so far this season, three have hit the over.

The average point total in Volunteers games this season is 1.1 more points than the total of 55 in this matchup.

The Volunteers are 2-1 against the spread over their last three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those matchups.

UConn and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.

The last three Huskies games averaged 51.2 total points, 3.8 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.

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Huskies Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	49.4	49.0	50.2
Implied Total AVG	29.5	29.4	29.7
ATS Record	4-4-0	2-3-0	2-1-0
Over/Under Record	3-5-0	2-3-0	1-2-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	0-2	0-2	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-5	0-3	1-2

UConn’s Offense vs. Tennessee’s Defense (2023)

The Volunteers have the 31st-ranked scoring defense (20.4 points per game). The Huskies’ 117th-ranked scoring offense averages 19.8 points per game.

UConn averages 6.2 yards per pass attempt (117th in the FBS) compared to the 7.0 per pass Tennessee allows (52nd in college football).

The Huskies are 116th in college football, racking up 316.4 yards per game, while the Volunteers rank 60th in yards conceded (365.0).

UConn’s 135.4 rushing yards per game is good for 93rd in the FBS. Tennessee’s defense gives up 129.4 on the ground (47th in college football).

Tennessee vs. UConn Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Tennessee vs. UConn is the Volunteers ( on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the under at 55 points.

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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