UCF vs. Cincinnati Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – November 4, 2023

The UCF Knights (3-5), with college football’s fifth-ranked running game, play the Cincinnati Bearcats (2-6) and their sixth-ranked rushing attack on Saturday, November 4, 2023. The Knights are 3.5-point favorites. An over/under of 60.5 points has been set for the outing.

UCF vs. Cincinnati Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Knights (-3.5)
  • Moneyline: Knights (-185), Bearcats (+154)
  • Total: 60.5 points
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    How to Watch UCF vs. Cincinnati

  • When: Saturday, November 4, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET
  • Location: Nippert Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio
  • TV: FS1
  • Knights 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 268 (2144) 39
    Rush yards 227 (1816) 5
    Points scored 33.4 (267) 35
    Pass yards against 194.5 (1556) 26
    Rush yards against 208.6 (1669) 129
    Points allowed 29.9 (239) 102

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    UCF 2023 Betting Info

  • The Knights have covered three times in eight games with a spread this season.
  • When it has played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, UCF is 2-2 against the spread.
  • In the Knights’ eight games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total six times.
  • The average over/under the Knights have had set in games this year is 2.4 less points than this outing’s point total.
  • The Knights have covered the spread once in their past three contests while putting together a 0-3 record straight-up in those games.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have combined to hit the over two times in those games.
  • The past three Bearcats games averaged 11.8 fewer points (48.7) than this matchup’s over/under.
  • Knights Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 58.1 55.8 60.5
    Implied Total AVG 35.6 37.5 33.8
    ATS Record 3-5-0 2-2-0 1-3-0
    Over/Under Record 6-2-0 4-0-0 2-2-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 0-2 1-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-2 0-0 0-2

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    UCF’s Offense vs. Cincinnati’s Defense (2023)

  • The Knights rank 14th in the FBS at 9.2 yards per pass attempt. The Bearcats allow 8.2 yards per passing play (118th in college football).
  • The 268 passing yards per game UCF averages ranks 39th in the FBS, while the 247.9 Cincinnati allows ranks 105th in college football.
  • The Knights have the sixth-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (495). They will be up against a Bearcats defense ranked 71st, allowing 376.9 yards per game.
  • UCF has the 31st-ranked offense in the FBS (33.4 points per game), and will be facing Cincinnati’s 92nd-ranked defense (28.4 ppg).
  • Bearcats 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 221.9 (1775) 73
    Rush yards 222.6 (1781) 6
    Points scored 25.3 (202) 87
    Pass yards against 247.9 (1983) 105
    Rush yards against 129 (1032) 45
    Points allowed 28.4 (227) 92

    Cincinnati 2023 Betting Info

  • The Bearcats have won twice against the spread this year.
  • UCF is 2-2 against the spread when favored by 3.5 points or more this season.
  • This season, six of the Bearcats’ eight games have gone over the point total.
  • The Knights’ average point total in matchups this year is 58.1, 2.4 points below the total in this game.
  • The Knights are 1-2 against the spread in their last three games, and have a 0-3 straight-up record in those contests.
  • Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over two times in those games.
  • The past three Bearcats games averaged 11.8 fewer points (48.7) than this matchup’s over/under.
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    Bearcats Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 49.7 50.5 48.3
    Implied Total AVG 29.3 31 26.3
    ATS Record 2-6-0 1-4-0 1-2-0
    Over/Under Record 6-2-0 3-2-0 3-0-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 1-3 1-3 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-3 0-1 1-2

    Cincinnati’s Offense vs. UCF’s Defense (2023)

  • The Bearcats have the sixth-ranked rushing offense in the FBS (222.6 yards per game), and will be facing the 129th-ranked defense in that category, as the Knights allow 208.6 per game.
  • Cincinnati ranks 26th with five yards per carry, compared to the 5.1 per rush UCF allows (119th in the FBS).
  • The Bearcats have the 26th-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (444.5). They face a Knights defense ranked 101st, allowing 403.1 yards per game.
  • Cincinnati converts 41.9% of its third downs (51st in college football), while UCF’s defense ranks 118th in that category (45.7%)
  • UCF vs. Cincinnati Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for UCF vs. Cincinnati is the Knights (-185 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we prefer the under at 60.5 points.

    How to Bet on UCF vs. Cincinnati

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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