Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Prediction: Odds, Picks, Best Bets – November 11, 2023

The Texas A&M Aggies (5-4) will play their SEC-rival, the Mississippi State Bulldogs (4-5) in a matchup on Saturday, November 11, 2023 at Kyle Field. The Bulldogs will need a complete game to pull off an upset, they are currently 16.5-point underdogs. The over/under is 40 in the outing.

Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Favorite, Moneyline, Total

  • Spread Favorite: Aggies (-16.5)
  • Moneyline: Aggies (-700), Bulldogs (+500)
  • Total: 40 points
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    How to Watch Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State

  • When: Saturday, November 11, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
  • Location: Kyle Field in College Station, Texas
  • TV: ESPN2
  • Aggies 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 270.1 (2431) 38
    Rush yards 131.3 (1182) 97
    Points scored 32.3 (291) 43
    Pass yards against 196.9 (1772) 28
    Rush yards against 100.6 (905) 16
    Points allowed 21.6 (194) 39

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    Texas A&M 2023 Betting Info

  • The Aggies have won four games against the spread this season, while failing to cover or pushing five times.
  • Texas A&M has a 2-1 record against the spread when favored by 16.5 points or more this season.
  • In the Aggies’ nine games this season, the combined scoring has gone over the point total five times.
  • The average total in Aggies games this year is 11.1 more points than the over/under of 40 in this game.
  • The Aggies have not covered a spread (0-2-1) while going 1-2 overall in their past three games.
  • The final combined score of each of the past three Mississippi State games did not go over the set point total.
  • The last three Bulldogs games averaged 43.5 total points, 3.5 more points than this matchup’s point total.
  • Aggies Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 51.1 50.1 52.4
    Implied Total AVG 32.2 35.4 28.3
    ATS Record 4-4-1 3-2-0 1-2-1
    Over/Under Record 5-4-0 2-3-0 3-1-0
    Moneyline Favorite Record 3-1 2-0 1-1
    Moneyline Underdog Record 0-3 0-1 0-2

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    Texas A&M’s Offense vs. Mississippi State’s Defense (2023)

  • The Aggies’ 131.3 rushing yards per game is good for 97th in the FBS. The Bulldogs’ defense allows 133.6 on the ground (48th in college football).
  • Texas A&M averages 3.9 yards per carry (96th in college football) compared to the 3.9 per rushing attempt Mississippi State gives up (51st in the FBS).
  • The Aggies average 7.8 yards per pass attempt (46th in the FBS), and the Bulldogs give up 7.6 per pass (87th in college football).
  • Texas A&M averages 270.1 passing yards per game (38th in the FBS) compared to the 229.9 per game Mississippi State gives up (69th in college football).
  • Bulldogs 2023 Stats & Rankings

    Stat Average (Total) Rank
    Pass yards 191.9 (1727) 107
    Rush yards 143.9 (1295) 84
    Points scored 22.7 (204) 107
    Pass yards against 229.9 (2069) 69
    Rush yards against 133.6 (1202) 48
    Points allowed 25.7 (231) 67

    Mississippi State 2023 Betting Info

  • The Bulldogs have won twice against the spread this year.
  • Texas A&M is 2-1 against the spread when favored by 16.5 points or more this season.
  • The Bulldogs have seen four of its nine games go over the point total.
  • The average total for Aggies games this season is 11.1 more points than the over/under of 40 in this game.
  • The Aggies have not covered a spread (0-2-1) while going 1-2 overall over their last three contests.
  • Mississippi State and its opponents did not hit the over in any of those games.
  • The past three Bulldogs games averaged 3.5 more points (43.5) than this matchup’s over/under.
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    Bulldogs Home/Away Splits (2023)

    Overall Home Away
    Point Total AVG 50.3 53.3 44.3
    Implied Total AVG 31.4 34.3 25.7
    ATS Record 2-7-0 1-5-0 1-2-0
    Over/Under Record 4-4-1 3-3-0 1-1-1
    Moneyline Favorite Record 2-0 2-0 0-0
    Moneyline Underdog Record 1-5 0-3 1-2

    Mississippi State’s Offense vs. Texas A&M’s Defense (2023)

  • The Bulldogs have a 31.6% third-down conversion rate, 122nd in the FBS. The Aggies allow third-down conversions on 29.7% of their opponents’ attempts (13th).
  • Mississippi State averages 335.8 yards per game to rank 103rd in the FBS. They take on a Texas A&M defense ranked 14th, giving up 297.4 yards per game.
  • Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State Prediction and Pick

    Our prediction for Texas A&M vs. Mississippi State is the Aggies (-700 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. As for the total, we recommend betting on the over at 40 points.

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    For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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