Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – November 18, 2023

Matt Rooney

Nov 18, 2023

A pair of MWC teams square off when the Boise State Broncos (5-5) take on the Utah State Aggies (5-5) on Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium. The Broncos are favored by 5 points. The over/under for the contest is 63.5 points.

Boise State vs. Utah State Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Broncos (-5)

Moneyline: Broncos (-205), Aggies (+170)

Total: 63.5 points

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How to Watch Boise State vs. Utah State

When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET

Location: Merlin Olsen Field At Maverik Stadium in Logan, Utah

TV: CBS Sports

Broncos 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	243.4 (2434)	55
Rush yards	196.6 (1966)	21
Points scored	31.2 (312)	50
Pass yards against	271.8 (2718)	125
Rush yards against	115.7 (1157)	26
Points allowed	27.4 (274)	80

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Boise State 2023 Betting Info

The Broncos are 4-5-1 ATS this season.

When it has played as at least 5-point favorites this season, Boise State is 2-3 against the spread.

The Broncos and their opponent have combined to hit the over seven out of 10 times this season.

The average point total in Broncos games this year is 7.6 fewer points than the total of 63.5 in this matchup.

The Broncos have covered the spread twice in their past three contests while putting up a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.

Once in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.

The Aggies’ last three games have ended with an average of 58.5 points scored. That’s five fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

Broncos Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	55.9	56.1	55.6
Implied Total AVG	32.5	34	31
ATS Record	4-5-1	4-1-0	0-4-1
Over/Under Record	7-3-0	2-3-0	5-0-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	5-1	4-0	1-1
Moneyline Underdog Record	0-4	0-1	0-3

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Boise State’s Offense vs. Utah State’s Defense (2023)

The Broncos’ running game ranks 21st in the FBS (196.6 yards per game). The Aggies give up 172.9 rushing yards per game (105th).

Boise State converts 47% of its third downs (16th in college football), while Utah State’s defense ranks 99th in that category (41.8%)

Boise State has the 26th-ranked offense in the FBS in yards per game (440). They face a Utah State defense ranked 100th, allowing 403.2 yards per game.

Aggies 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	271 (2710)	32
Rush yards	177.3 (1773)	40
Points scored	35.5 (355)	27
Pass yards against	230.3 (2303)	75
Rush yards against	172.9 (1729)	105
Points allowed	32 (320)	113

Utah State 2023 Betting Info

Against the spread, the Aggies are 6-4-0 this season.

Boise State is 2-3 against the spread when favored by 5 points or more this season.

There have been seven Aggies games (out of 10) that hit the over this year.

The Broncos’ average point total in outings this season is 55.9, 7.6 points below the over/under in this game.

The Broncos are 2-1 against the spread over their last three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.

Utah State and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.

The last three Aggies games averaged 58.5 total points, five fewer points than this matchup’s point total.

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Aggies Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	54.8	57.4	52.2
Implied Total AVG	32.4	34	30.8
ATS Record	6-4-0	4-1-0	2-3-0
Over/Under Record	7-3-0	5-0-0	2-3-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	3-0	1-0	2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-5	1-2	0-3

Utah State’s Offense vs. Boise State’s Defense (2023)

The Broncos’ defense allows 271.8 yards through the air per game (125th in the FBS). The Aggies’ 271 passing yards per game is 32nd in college football.

Utah State ranks 46th in the FBS at 7.8 yards per pass attempt. Boise State gives up 8.3 yards per passing play (119th in college football).

The Aggies’ 20th-ranked scoring offense averages 35.5 points per game. The Broncos have the 80th-ranked scoring defense (27.4 ppg).

Utah State’s offense ranks 21st in the FBS in yards per game (448.3), while Boise State ranks 80th in yards allowed (387.5).

Boise State vs. Utah State Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Boise State vs. Utah State sees the Broncos (-205 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the total, we pick the under at 63.5 points.

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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