Iowa vs. Illinois Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – November 18, 2023

Matt Rooney

Nov 18, 2023

A matchup of Big Ten teams features the Iowa Hawkeyes (8-2) taking on the Illinois Fighting Illini (5-5) on Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Kinnick Stadium. The Hawkeyes are listed as favorites in this one, with the spread sitting at 3 points. The over/under in this contest is 33.5 points.

Iowa vs. Illinois Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Spread Favorite: Hawkeyes (-3)

Moneyline: Hawkeyes (-142), Fighting Illini (+120)

Total: 33.5 points

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How to Watch Iowa vs. Illinois

When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:30 PM ET

Location: Kinnick Stadium in Iowa City, Iowa

TV: FS1

Hawkeyes 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	122 (1220)	130
Rush yards	122 (1220)	105
Points scored	18.8 (188)	122
Pass yards against	168.8 (1688)	10
Rush yards against	116.8 (1168)	28
Points allowed	12.3 (123)	3

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Iowa 2023 Betting Info

The Hawkeyes have compiled a 4-4-1 record against the spread this season.

Iowa has a 2-3-1 record against the spread in games it was favored by 3 points or more this season.

So far this season, just two Hawkeyes games have gone over the point total.

The average point total in Hawkeyes games this year is 3.3 more points than the over/under of 33.5 in this matchup.

The Hawkeyes are 1-2 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 2-1 straight-up record in those contests.

Illinois and its opponents have combined to hit the over in all three of those games.

The Fighting Illini’s past three games have ended with an average of 42.8 points scored. That’s 9.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.

Hawkeyes Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	36.8	38.5	34.8
Implied Total AVG	24	26.2	21.3
ATS Record	4-4-1	2-2-1	2-2-0
Over/Under Record	2-7-0	2-3-0	0-4-0
Moneyline Favorite Record	6-1	4-1	2-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	1-1	0-0	1-1

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Iowa’s Offense vs. Illinois’ Defense (2023)

The Hawkeyes’ offense averages 5.2 yards per pass attempt (132nd in the FBS). The Fighting Illini’s defense gives up 6.9 yards per passing play (46th in college football).

Iowa averages 3.5 yards per carry (111th in college football) compared to the 4.1 per attempt Illinois allows (58th in the FBS).

The Hawkeyes average 122 passing yards per game (130th in the FBS). They play the Fighting Illini’s defense which ranks 79th, giving up 233.6 yards per game through the air.

Iowa averages 244 yards per game to rank 133rd in the FBS. They take on a Illinois defense ranked 82nd, giving up 389.4 yards per game.

Fighting Illini 2023 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average (Total)	Rank
Pass yards	263.3 (2633)	40
Rush yards	132.5 (1325)	95
Points scored	23.8 (238)	95
Pass yards against	233.6 (2336)	79
Rush yards against	155.8 (1558)	80
Points allowed	29.3 (293)	102

Illinois 2023 Betting Info

The Fighting Illini have won twice against the spread this season.

Iowa is 2-3-1 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.

Out of 10 Fighting Illini games so far this season, five have gone over the total.

The Hawkeyes’ average total in matchups this season has been 36.8, 3.3 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

The Hawkeyes have covered the spread once in their last three contests while putting together a 2-1 record straight-up in those games.

Illinois and its opponents have combined to hit the over in all three of those games.

The Fighting Illini’s past three outings have ended with an average of 42.8 points scored. That’s 9.3 more points than this contest’s over/under.

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Fighting Illini Home/Away Splits (2023)

	Overall	Home	Away
Point Total AVG	47.1	44.2	51.5
Implied Total AVG	27	26.3	28
ATS Record	2-8-0	0-6-0	2-2-0
Over/Under Record	5-4-1	3-3-0	2-1-1
Moneyline Favorite Record	3-1	3-1	0-0
Moneyline Underdog Record	2-4	0-2	2-2

Illinois’ Offense vs. Iowa’s Defense (2023)

The Fighting Illini’s offense ranks 90th in the FBS at 23.8 points per game. The Hawkeyes give up 12.3 per game (third in college football).

Illinois ranks 99th in the FBS averaging 3.9 yards per carry. Iowa gives up 3.3 per rushing attempt (18th in college football).

The Fighting Illini’s 132.5 rushing yards per game is good for 95th in the FBS. The Hawkeyes’ defense allows 116.8 on the ground (28th in college football).

Illinois converts 37.3% of its third-down plays (84th in college football). Iowa’s defense gives up third-down conversions at a 31% clip (20th).

Iowa vs. Illinois Prediction and Pick

Our prediction for Iowa vs. Illinois is the Hawkeyes (-142 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. For the over/under, we prefer the over at 33.5 points.

How to Bet on Iowa vs. Illinois

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Or before you bet, why not check out our guide to betting on college football which breaks down how to bet the moneyline, and over/under totals above.

And finally, make sure college football betting is legal in your state by staying up to date with our guide.

For more college football betting news, check out our free college football picks, best bets, and predictions.

written by

Matt Rooney

Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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