AAC action features the North Texas Mean Green (3-7) and the Tulsa Golden Hurricane (3-7) on Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium. The betting information forecasts a close game, with the Mean Green favored by 2 points. The over/under for the outing is 69 points.
North Texas vs. Tulsa Favorite, Moneyline, Total
Spread Favorite: Mean Green (-2)
Moneyline: Mean Green (-130), Golden Hurricane (+110)
Total: 69 points
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How to Watch North Texas vs. Tulsa
When: Saturday, November 18, 2023 at 3:00 PM ET
Location: Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium in Tulsa, Oklahoma
TV: ESPN+
Mean Green 2023 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
295.5 (2955) |
14 |
Rush yards |
175.8 (1758) |
44 |
Points scored |
33.4 (334) |
31 |
Pass yards against |
210.9 (2109) |
45 |
Rush yards against |
267.4 (2674) |
133 |
Points allowed |
37.5 (375) |
133 |
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North Texas 2023 Betting Info
The Mean Green have put together a 5-4-1 ATS record so far this year.
North Texas has a 1-2 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
So far this season, five out of the Mean Green’s 10 games have hit the over.
The average total the Mean Green have had set in matchups this season is 5.4 less points than this outing’s point total.
The Mean Green are 1-1-1 against the spread and 0-3 overall during their past three games.
Twice in those three games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
The last three Golden Hurricane games averaged 51.8 total points, 17.2 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
Mean Green Home/Away Splits (2023)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
63.6 |
65.3 |
61.8 |
Implied Total AVG |
37.3 |
37.2 |
37.4 |
ATS Record |
5-4-1 |
2-2-1 |
3-2-0 |
Over/Under Record |
5-5-0 |
3-2-0 |
2-3-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-1 |
1-0 |
0-1 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-6 |
0-3 |
1-3 |
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North Texas’ Offense vs. Tulsa’s Defense (2023)
The Mean Green average 295.5 passing yards per game (14th in the FBS) compared to the 288.0 per game the Golden Hurricane give up (129th in college football).
North Texas has one of the best offenses in the FBS in yards per game (No. 11 at 471.3 YPG), and will be up against the 120th-ranked Tulsa defense (435.2 ypg allowed).
The Mean Green have the 29th-ranked offense in the FBS (33.4 points per game), and will be up against the Golden Hurricane’s 120th-ranked defense (34.4 ppg).
North Texas’ passing attack averages 7.8 yards per pass attempt (44th in the FBS). Tulsa allows 8.5 per pass (125th in college football).
Golden Hurricane 2023 Stats & Rankings
Stat |
Average (Total) |
Rank |
Pass yards |
190.8 (1908) |
106 |
Rush yards |
184.8 (1848) |
31 |
Points scored |
22.4 (224) |
105 |
Pass yards against |
288.0 (2880) |
129 |
Rush yards against |
147.2 (1472) |
64 |
Points allowed |
34.4 (344) |
120 |
Tulsa 2023 Betting Info
The Golden Hurricane have covered the spread four times in 10 games.
North Texas is 1-2 against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
This year, four of the Golden Hurricane’s 10 games have hit the over.
The Mean Green’s average point total in matchups this season is 63.6, 5.4 points below the over/under in this game.
The Mean Green are 1-1-1 against the spread in their past three games, and have a 0-3 straight-up record in those contests.
Tulsa and its opponents have combined to hit the over in two of those games.
The last three Golden Hurricane games averaged 51.8 total points, 17.2 fewer points than this matchup’s over/under.
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Golden Hurricane Home/Away Splits (2023)
|
Overall |
Home |
Away |
Point Total AVG |
55.5 |
54.3 |
56.7 |
Implied Total AVG |
36.2 |
35.4 |
37.0 |
ATS Record |
4-5-1 |
1-4-0 |
3-1-1 |
Over/Under Record |
4-6-0 |
3-2-0 |
1-4-0 |
Moneyline Favorite Record |
1-2 |
1-2 |
0-0 |
Moneyline Underdog Record |
1-4 |
0-1 |
1-3 |
Tulsa’s Offense vs. North Texas’ Defense (2023)
The Golden Hurricane’s running game ranks 31st in the FBS (184.8 yards per game), while the Mean Green allow 267.4 per game (133rd-ranked run defense).
The Golden Hurricane are 30th in the FBS in third-down percentage (43.8%) and will be facing the 114th-ranked Mean Green defense in that category (44.7%).
Tulsa’s 190.8 passing yards per game ranks 106th in the FBS. North Texas’ defense allows 210.9 through the air (45th in college football).
North Texas vs. Tulsa Prediction and Pick
Our prediction for North Texas vs. Tulsa sees the Golden Hurricane (+110 on the moneyline) as the pick to win. Based on our analysis of the historical stats for this matchup, we recommend betting on the under at 69 points.
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