Brewers vs. Reds Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, July 9, 2023

The Milwaukee Brewers (48-42) and Willy Adames (2 HR in his last game) are favored (-128) on the moneyline for their matchup with the Cincinnati Reds (50-40) on Sunday at 2:10 PM ET on BSWI.

Milwaukee’s Wade Miley and Cincinnati’s Ben Lively have been named the starters for this contest.

Brewers vs. Reds Odds

  • Brewers odds to win: -128
  • Reds odds to win: +109
  • Spread: Brewers -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
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    Game Time and Information

  • Date: Sunday, July 9, 2023
  • Time: 2:10 PM ET
  • TV: BSWI
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    Who Will Win Brewers vs. Reds?

    Brewers and Reds Betting Trends

    The Brewers have won 55.6% of the games this season when they were favored on the moneyline (25-20).

    Milwaukee has gone 16-13 (winning 55.2% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -128 or shorter.

    The Reds have won 34, or 50.7%, of the 67 games they’ve played as underdogs this season.

    Cincinnati has a record of 26-27, a 49.1% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +109 or more by bookmakers this season.

    The Brewers have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 90 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 41 of those games (41-45-4).

    Games involving the Reds have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 53 of 90 chances this season.

    Brewers Stats & Insights

    The Brewers rank 21st in runs scored with 383, 4.3 per game.

    Milwaukee is 20th in MLB with 97 total home runs.

    The Brewers rank 25th in MLB with a .232 batting average.

    Milwaukee strikes out 9.3 times per game, the fourth-worst mark in MLB.

    The Brewers pitching staff ranks 23rd in the majors with a collective 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Milwaukee has the 15th-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (4.14).

    Reds Stats & Insights

    The Reds are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking fifth with 454 total runs this season.

    Cincinnati has hit 98 homers this season, which ranks 18th in the majors.

    The Reds’ .258 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking 10th in MLB.

    Cincinnati ranks 20th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.9 Ks per contest.

    The Reds strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 17th in MLB.

    Cincinnati has pitched to a 4.91 ERA this season, which ranks 27th in baseball.

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    Brewers Key Players to Watch

    Miley makes the start for the Brewers, his 13th of the season. He is 5-2 with a 3.36 ERA and 38 strikeouts in 61 2/3 innings pitched.

    Christian Yelich is batting .282 with 46 RBI, both of which are best among Milwaukee hitters this season.

    Adames is batting .213 this season with a team-high 16 home runs and 46 RBI.

    William Contreras is slashing .258/.344/.426 this season for the Brewers.

    Joey Wiemer is batting .211 with an OBP of .293 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

    Reds Key Players to Watch

    Lively (4-4) will take the mound for the Reds, his eighth start of the season.

    Spencer Steer paces the Reds with 14 home runs while putting up a team-best batting average of .280.

    Jonathan India is batting .250 with 17 doubles, 13 home runs and 36 walks.

    Jake Fraley has driven in a team-best 52 runs batted in.

    TJ Friedl has 13 doubles, three triples, six home runs and 25 walks while batting .304.

    Brewers and Reds Injuries

    Brewers: Rowdy Tellez: 10 Day IL (Forearm), Tyrone Taylor: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Eric Lauer: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Cousins: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Bennett Sousa: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Brandon Woodruff: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Darin Ruf: 60 Day IL (Knee), Garrett Mitchell: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Justin Wilson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Aaron Ashby: 60 Day IL (Labrum)

    Reds: Hunter Greene: 15 Day IL (Hip), Casey Legumina: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Lodolo: 60 Day IL (Calf), Reiver Sanmartin: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Connor Overton: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Vladimir Gutierrez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tejay Antone: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Justin Dunn: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Brewers vs. Reds Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Brewers 5, Reds 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
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    How to Bet on Brewers vs. Reds

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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