Braves vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Tuesday, August 22, 2023

Pete Alonso is on the brink of his 40th home run of the season for the New York Mets (59-67) as they get set to take on the Atlanta Braves (80-44) on Tuesday. The Mets enter the matchup as +177 underdogs on the moneyline, and action gets underway from Truist Park at 7:20 PM ET, live on BSSO.

Bryce Elder will get the ball for Atlanta while New York will counter with Tylor Megill.

Braves vs. Mets Odds

  • Braves odds to win: -212
  • Mets odds to win: +177
  • Spread: Braves -1.5
  • Total: 11 runs
  • Braves vs. Mets Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Braves vs. Mets?

    Braves and Mets Betting Trends

    The Braves have been favored on the moneyline 112 total times this season. They’ve gone 72-40 in those games.

    When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -212 or shorter, Atlanta has a record of 25-11 (69.4%).

    The Mets have entered the game as underdogs 48 times this season and won 14, or 29.2%, of those games.

    New York has a record of 1-2 when it’s set as an underdog of +177 or more by oddsmakers this season.

    The Braves have played in 124 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-54-3).

    So far this season, the Mets and their opponents have hit the over in 53 of their 124 games with a total.

    Braves Stats & Insights

    The Braves have the top offense in baseball scoring 5.8 runs per game (719 total runs).

    The Atlanta Braves average 1.9 home runs per game and have hit an MLB-leading 237 home runs in total.

    The Braves lead MLB with a .274 batting average.

    Atlanta’s hitters strike out 8.1 times per game, the seventh-fewest strikeouts in baseball.

    The pitching staff for the Braves has a collective 9.4 K/9, the fifth-best in the majors.

    Atlanta’s 3.87 team ERA ranks sixth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mets Stats & Insights

    The Mets rank 16th in the majors with 563 total runs scored this season.

    New York has hit 164 homers this season, which ranks 10th in the majors.

    The Mets rank 21st in MLB with a .238 team batting average.

    New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the fifth-best strikeout rate (7.9 per game) among MLB offenses.

    The Mets average the 17th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.7) in the league this season.

    New York has pitched to a 4.51 ERA this season, which ranks 20th in baseball.

    Braves Key Players to Watch

    The Braves are sending Elder (9-4) to the mound to make his 25th start of the season as he goes for his 10th win. He is 9-4 with a 3.46 ERA and 100 strikeouts in 138 2/3 innings pitched.

    Ronald Acuna Jr. leads Atlanta in batting average (.332) this season while adding 28 home runs and 74 RBI.

    Matt Olson leads Atlanta in home runs with 43 and runs batted in with 108.

    Austin Riley is slashing .279/.338/.509 this season for the Braves.

    Marcell Ozuna is batting .254 with an OBP of .326 and a slugging percentage of .497 this season.

    Mets Key Players to Watch

    Megill (7-6) will take to the mound for the Mets and make his 19th start of the season.

    Alonso has a team-best 39 home runs and 95 runs batted in.

    Francisco Lindor is batting .254 with 28 doubles, two triples, 23 home runs and 51 walks.

    Brandon Nimmo has put up a team-high batting average of .270.

    Jeff McNeil is hitting .266 with 19 doubles, two triples, six home runs and 34 walks.

    Braves and Mets Injuries

    Braves: Sam Hilliard: 10 Day IL (Heel), Ozzie Albies: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Yonny Chirinos: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Daysbel Hernández: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Nick Anderson: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Dylan Lee: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Kyle Wright: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Kolby Allard: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ehire Adrianza: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jesse Chávez: 60 Day IL (Shin), Huascar Ynoa: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tyler Matzek: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Mets: Starling Marte: 10 Day IL (Migraines), Mark Vientos: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Luis Guillorme: 10 Day IL (Leg), Josh Walker: 60 Day IL (Oblique), John Curtiss: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Elieser Hernandez: 60 Day IL (Pectoral), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee)

    Braves vs. Mets Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Braves 5, Mets 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 11 runs
  • How to Bet on Braves vs. Mets

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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