Astros vs. Padres Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, September 9, 2023

The Houston Astros (80-62) are -122 favorites when they play the San Diego Padres (67-75) on Saturday at 7:10 PM ET. Kyle Tucker has 99 RBI on the season and will hope to hit his milestone 100th once the game begins at Minute Maid Park, live on MLB Network.

Cristian Javier gets the starting nod for Houston while Seth Lugo is San Diego’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Padres Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -122
  • Padres odds to win: +102
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Astros vs. Padres Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Astros vs. Padres?

    Astros and Padres Betting Trends

    The Astros have been the moneyline favorite 102 total times this season. They’ve finished 54-48 in those games.

    Houston has gone 51-37 (winning 58% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -122 or shorter.

    This season, the Padres have won 11 out of the 35 games, or 31.4%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    San Diego has a record of 5-14 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +102 on the moneyline.

    The Astros have played in 142 games with set over/under, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 75 times (75-64-3).

    Games involving the Padres have gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 59 of 142 chances this season.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros score the fifth-most runs in baseball (731 total, 5.1 per game).

    Houston is eighth in baseball with 196 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

    The Astros have the fourth-best batting average in the majors (.260).

    Houston strikes out 7.7 times per game to rank third in baseball.

    The Astros pitching staff ranks seventh in MLB with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Houston’s 3.97 team ERA ranks seventh among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Padres Stats & Insights

    The Padres rank 17th in the majors with 648 total runs scored this season.

    San Diego has hit 180 homers this season, which ranks 13th in the majors.

    The Padres rank 23rd in MLB with a .240 team batting average.

    San Diego is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking ninth with an average of 8.1 strikeouts per game.

    The Padres strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 11th in MLB.

    San Diego has pitched to a 3.83 ERA this season, which ranks fourth in baseball.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Javier (9-3) is trying for his 10th victory when he gets the starting nod for the Astros in his 27th start of the season. He has a 4.65 ERA in 137 1/3 innings pitched, with 127 strikeouts.

    Tucker leads Houston in home runs with 26, runs batted in with 99 and his batting average of .288 is also best on his team.

    Alex Bregman has collected 149 hits this season and has an OBP of .369. He’s slugging .449 on the year.

    Yordan Alvarez has collected 99 base hits, an OBP of .409 and a slugging percentage of .569 this season.

    Jeremy Pena has 135 hits and an OBP of .328 to go with a slugging percentage of .396 this season.

    Padres Key Players to Watch

    Lugo (6-6) will take to the mound for the Padres and make his 23rd start of the season.

    Juan Soto paces the Padres in home runs (28) and runs batted in (85).

    Ha-Seong Kim is batting .273 to lead his team.

    Fernando Tatis Jr. is hitting .260 with 29 doubles, a triple, 23 home runs and 46 walks.

    Manny Machado is hitting .253 with 20 doubles, 26 home runs and 47 walks.

    Astros and Padres Injuries

    Astros: Ryne Stanek: 15 Day IL (Ankle), Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Padres: Ji-Man Choi: 10 Day IL (Rib), Gary Sánchez: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Jake Cronenworth: 10 Day IL (Wrist), Joe Musgrove: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Yu Darvish: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Steven Wilson: 15 Day IL (Hip), Drew Carlton: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Reiss Knehr: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Alek Jacob: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Drew Pomeranz: 60 Day IL (Elbow/flexor)

    Astros vs. Padres Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Padres 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Padres

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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