Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, September 10, 2023

Bryce Harper, batting .293 this season, leads the Philadelphia Phillies (78-63) into a matchup with one of the league’s other top hitters, Luis Arraez (.349 AVG) and the Miami Marlins (73-69). Harper and the Phillies are -170 favorites on the moneyline for the matchup at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 1:05 PM ET live on MLB Network.

Philadelphia’s Ranger Suarez and Miami’s Steven Okert have been named the starters for this contest.

Phillies vs. Marlins Odds

  • Phillies odds to win: -170
  • Marlins odds to win: +144
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
  • Phillies vs. Marlins Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Phillies vs. Marlins?

    Phillies and Marlins Betting Trends

    The Phillies have won 58.6% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (58-41).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -170 or shorter, Philadelphia has gone 22-13 (62.9%).

    The Marlins have been underdogs in 74 games this season and won 32 (43.2%) of those contests.

    Miami has a record of 8-13 in games where oddsmakers have it as underdogs of at least +144 on the moneyline.

    The Phillies have played in 141 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 62 times (62-69-10).

    Games involving the Marlins have gone over the total set by oddsmakers in 65 of 141 chances this season.

    Phillies Stats & Insights

    The Phillies score the ninth-most runs in baseball (688 total, 4.9 per game).

    Philadelphia averages 1.3 home runs per game to rank 12th in MLB action with 186 total home runs .

    The Phillies are sixth in MLB with a .259 batting average.

    Philadelphia’s nine strikeouts per game rank 22nd in baseball.

    The Phillies pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Philadelphia has a 4.01 team ERA that ranks 10th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Marlins Stats & Insights

    The Marlins rank 25th in the majors with 583 total runs scored this season.

    Miami ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball with 145 home runs.

    The Marlins have a team batting average of .258 this season, which ranks eighth among MLB teams.

    Miami ranks fourth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.9 Ks per contest.

    The Marlins have a 9.4 K/9 this season as a pitching staff, third-best in baseball.

    Miami pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.22 ERA this year, which ranks 15th in MLB.

    Phillies Key Players to Watch

    Suarez (2-6) takes the mound for the Phillies in his 19th start of the season. He’s put together a 3.91 ERA in 101 1/3 innings pitched, with 94 strikeouts.

    Kyle Schwarber leads Philadelphia in home runs with 42 and runs batted in with 93.

    Trea Turner has collected 149 hits this season and has an OBP of .315. He’s slugging .455 on the year.

    Bryson Stott has 151 hits this season and a slash line of .292/.338/.437.

    Alec Bohm has 133 hits and an OBP of .331 to go with a slugging percentage of .433 this season.

    Marlins Key Players to Watch

    Okert will get the start for the Marlins, his second of the season.

    Arraez leads the Marlins with a team-best batting average of .349.

    Bryan De La Cruz has totaled 72 runs batted in to pace his team.

    Jake Burger is batting .242 with 24 doubles, a triple, 31 home runs and 28 walks.

    Josh Bell is batting .245 with 24 doubles, 20 home runs and 55 walks.

    Phillies and Marlins Injuries

    Phillies: Rhys Hoskins: 60 Day IL (Acl)

    Marlins: Avisaíl García: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Jorge Soler: 10 Day IL (Oblique), Sandy Alcantara: 15 Day IL (Forearm), Huascar Brazoban: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Trevor Rogers: 60 Day IL (Forearm ), Matt Barnes: 60 Day IL (Hip), Jonathan Davis: 60 Day IL (Knee), Max Meyer: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Bender: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Phillies vs. Marlins Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Marlins 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Phillies vs. Marlins

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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