Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, September 16, 2023

After a four-hit game last time out, Josh Naylor leads the Cleveland Guardians (70-78) as -123 favorites against the Texas Rangers (82-65). Action gets underway from Progressive Field at 6:10 PM ET on Saturday, live on BSGL.

Cleveland’s Tanner Bibee and Texas’ Dane Dunning have been named the starters for this contest.

Guardians vs. Rangers Odds

  • Guardians odds to win: -123
  • Rangers odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Guardians -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Guardians vs. Rangers Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Guardians vs. Rangers?

    Guardians and Rangers Betting Trends

    The Guardians have been the moneyline favorite 69 total times this season. They’ve finished 36-33 in those games.

    Cleveland has gone 29-27 (winning 51.8% of its games) when playing as moneyline favorites of -123 or shorter.

    The Rangers have entered the game as underdogs 45 times this season and won 23, or 51.1%, of those games.

    This season, Texas has won 12 of its 29 games, or 41.4%, when it’s the underdog by at least +104 on the moneyline.

    The Guardians have combined with opponents to go over the total 62 times this season for a 62-82-2 record against the over/under.

    The Rangers and their opponents have hit the over in 78 of their 147 games with a total this season.

    Guardians Stats & Insights

    The Guardians are the fourth-lowest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.1 runs per game (603 total).

    Cleveland is last in MLB play with 114 home runs.

    The Guardians have the 15th-ranked batting average in the league (.248).

    Cleveland strikes out the least in MLB, averaging 7.1 per game.

    The Guardians pitching staff ranks 25th in the majors with a collective 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Cleveland has a 3.96 team ERA that ranks seventh across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Rangers Stats & Insights

    The Rangers have scored 815 runs this season, which ranks third in MLB.

    Texas ranks sixth in Major League Baseball with 209 home runs.

    The Rangers rank second in MLB with a .267 team batting average.

    Texas ranks 16th in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.7 Ks per contest.

    The Rangers average the 20th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.5) in the league this season.

    Texas pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.29 ERA this year, which ranks 17th in MLB.

    Guardians Key Players to Watch

    Bibee makes the start for the Guardians, his 25th of the season. He is 10-4 with a 3.03 ERA and 137 strikeouts through 136 2/3 innings pitched.

    Jose Ramirez leads Cleveland in batting average (.276) and home runs (23) this season, while also chipping in with 76 RBI.

    Steven Kwan has collected 159 hits this season and has an OBP of .341. He’s slugging .373 on the year.

    Naylor leads Cleveland in RBI with 91 while batting .314 with 17 home runs.

    Andres Gimenez is batting .242 with an OBP of .311 and a slugging percentage of .383 this season.

    Rangers Key Players to Watch

    The Rangers will hand the ball to Dunning (10-6) for his 23rd start of the season.

    Marcus Semien is hitting .277 with 36 doubles, four triples, 24 home runs and 67 walks.

    Corey Seager has a club-best .341 batting average.

    Nate Lowe has 37 doubles, two triples, 16 home runs and 87 walks while hitting .276.

    Jonah Heim is hitting .265 with 27 doubles, 17 home runs and 32 walks.

    Guardians and Rangers Injuries

    Guardians: Michael Kelly: 15 Day IL (Back), Shane Bieber: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Triston McKenzie: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Rangers: Adolis GarcĂ­a: 10 Day IL (Knee), Josh Jung: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Max Scherzer: 15 Day IL (Triceps ), Josh Sborz: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Jacob deGrom: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Brad Miller: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Brett Martin: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Odorizzi: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Guardians vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Rangers 5, Guardians 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Guardians vs. Rangers

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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