Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, September 16, 2023

The New York Yankees (75-73) are favorites (-118) on the moneyline when they take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-79) Saturday at 6:35 PM ET, live on SportsNet PT.

New York’s Luke Weaver gets the start, and he’ll go against Pittsburgh’s Luis Ortiz.

Yankees vs. Pirates Odds

  • Yankees odds to win: -118
  • Pirates odds to win: -101
  • Spread: Yankees -1.5
  • Total: 9.5 runs
  • Yankees vs. Pirates Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Yankees vs. Pirates?

    Yankees and Pirates Betting Trends

    The Yankees have won 49 of the 90 games they were listed as the moneyline favorite this season (54.4%).

    When playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -118 or shorter, New York has a 43-31 record (winning 58.1% of its games).

    The Pirates have entered the game as underdogs 117 times this season and won 50, or 42.7%, of those games.

    Pittsburgh has a record of 44-63, a 41.1% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -101 or more by sportsbooks this season.

    The Yankees have played in 147 games with a set over/under, and have combined with their opponents to go over the total 67 times (67-74-6).

    The Pirates and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 80 of their 148 opportunities.

    Yankees Stats & Insights

    The Yankees are the 23rd-highest scoring team in MLB play averaging 4.2 runs per game (624 total).

    New York is seventh in MLB play with 205 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

    The Yankees rank 29th in MLB with a .226 batting average.

    New York’s 8.7 strikeouts per game rank 17th in the majors.

    The Yankees pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    New York’s 3.98 team ERA ranks 10th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Pirates Stats & Insights

    The Pirates have scored 622 runs (4.2 per game) this season, which ranks 24th in MLB.

    Pittsburgh’s 144 home runs rank 27th in MLB this season.

    The Pirates rank 27th in MLB with a team batting average of just .237.

    Pittsburgh ranks 21st in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 8.8 Ks per contest.

    The Pirates strike out 8.6 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 17th in MLB.

    Pittsburgh pitchers have a combined ERA of 4.49 ERA this year, which ranks 20th in MLB.

    Yankees Key Players to Watch

    Weaver gets the start for the Yankees, his 23rd of the season. He is 2-5 with a 6.77 ERA and 93 strikeouts in 110 1/3 innings pitched.

    Gleyber Torres leads New York in batting average (.271) and runs batted in (65) this season while also slugging 25 homers.

    Aaron Judge’s 32 home runs are most among New York batters. He’s driven in 63 runs this season while slugging .588.

    Anthony Volpe is slashing .211/.289/.389 this season for the Yankees.

    DJ LeMahieu is batting .243 with an OBP of .323 and a slugging percentage of .398 this season.

    Pirates Key Players to Watch

    The Pirates will hand the ball to Ortiz (4-4) for his 14th start of the season.

    Bryan Reynolds leads the Pirates with 75 runs batted in while putting up a team-best batting average of .272.

    Ke’Bryan Hayes has 25 doubles, seven triples, 13 home runs and 27 walks while batting .270.

    Jack Suwinski has a team-best 25 home runs.

    Connor Joe is hitting .231 with 27 doubles, four triples, 10 home runs and 46 walks.

    Yankees and Pirates Injuries

    Yankees: Billy McKinney: 10 Day IL (Back), Jasson Domínguez: 10 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Severino: 15 Day IL (Side), Albert Abreu: 15 Day IL (Hamstring), Keynan Middleton: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Jonathan Loaisiga: 15 Day IL (Elbow), Nestor Cortes Jr.: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Ryan Weber: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Jose Trevino: 60 Day IL (Wrist), Anthony Rizzo: 60 Day IL (Concussion), Lou Trivino: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Luis Gil: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Frankie Montás: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Scott Effross: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Anthony Misiewicz: 7 Day IL (Head)

    Pirates: Andrew McCutchen: 10 Day IL (Achilles), Vince Velásquez: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Angel Perdomo: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Tucupita Marcano: 60 Day IL (Knee), Oneil Cruz: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Jarlin García: 60 Day IL (Arm), JT Brubaker: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Yankees vs. Pirates Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Pirates 6, Yankees 5
  • Total Prediction: Over 9.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Yankees vs. Pirates

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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