Astros vs. Mariners Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, September 27, 2023

The Houston Astros (86-72) are -116 favorites to take Game 3 of th series from the Seattle Mariners (85-72) Wednesday at 9:40 PM ET. The teams enter the matchup with the series record tied, and the underdog Mariners are listed with -103 odds to win the rubber match and take the series victory.

Houston’s Framber Valdez and Seattle’s Bryce Miller have been named the starters for this contest.

Astros vs. Mariners Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -116
  • Mariners odds to win: -103
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Astros vs. Mariners Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Astros vs. Mariners?

    Astros and Mariners Betting Trends

    The Astros have won 50.4% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (58-57).

    In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -116 or shorter, Houston has gone 55-49 (52.9%).

    This season, the Mariners have won 22 out of the 49 games, or 44.9%, in which they’ve been the underdog.

    This season, Seattle has won 20 of its 38 games, or 52.6%, when it’s the underdog by at least -103 on the moneyline.

    The Astros have played in 158 games with over/under set, and have combined with opponents to go over the total 82 times (82-72-4).

    The Mariners and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 79 of their 157 opportunities.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros have the No. 5 offense in MLB action scoring 5.1 runs per game (808 total runs).

    Houston averages 1.4 home runs per game to rank seventh in MLB play with 217 total home runs.

    The Astros have the fourth-best batting average in the league (.259).

    Houston’s hitters strike out 7.6 times per game, the third-lowest average in MLB.

    The Astros pitching staff is seventh in the majors with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Houston’s 4.00 team ERA ranks 10th across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Mariners Stats & Insights

    The Mariners rank 13th in the majors with 742 total runs scored this season.

    Seattle’s 204 home runs rank 12th in Major League Baseball.

    The Mariners have a team batting average of .243 this season, which ranks 20th among MLB teams.

    Seattle ranks 29th in strikeouts per game (9.9) among MLB offenses.

    The Mariners strike out nine batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, ninth-best in MLB.

    Seattle has the lowest ERA in baseball at 3.77.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Valdez (12-11 with a 3.39 ERA and 193 strikeouts in 194 2/3 innings pitched) makes the start for the Astros, his 31st of the season.

    Kyle Tucker is batting .283 with 110 RBI, both of which lead Houston hitters this season.

    Alex Bregman is batting .259 with an OBP of .361 and a slugging percentage of .432 this season.

    Yordan Alvarez is slugging .581 this season, with a team-high 30 home runs. He’s also collected 96 RBI.

    Jose Altuve has collected 108 hits this season and has an OBP of .399. He’s slugging .534 on the year.

    Mariners Key Players to Watch

    Miller (8-6) will take to the mound for the Mariners and make his 25th start of the season.

    Julio Rodriguez has accumulated a team-best batting average of .282, and paces the Mariners in home runs (31) and runs batted in (102).

    J.P. Crawford is hitting .263 with 34 doubles, 17 home runs and 90 walks.

    Cal Raleigh is batting .235 with 23 doubles, a triple, 30 home runs and 54 walks.

    Teoscar Hernandez is hitting .263 with 29 doubles, two triples, 26 home runs and 38 walks.

    Astros and Mariners Injuries

    Astros: Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Chas McCormick: day-to-day (Back)

    Mariners: Tom Murphy: 10 Day IL (Thumb), Marco Gonzales: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Penn Murfee: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Robbie Ray: 60 Day IL (Flexor), Emerson Hancock: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Easton McGee: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Evan White: 60 Day IL (Adductor)

    Astros vs. Mariners Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Mariners 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Mariners

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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