Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Saturday, September 30, 2023

The Houston Astros (88-72) are favorites (-130) on the moneyline when they square off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (84-76) Saturday at 8:10 PM ET, live on ARID.

Justin Verlander gets the starting nod for Houston while Merrill Kelly is Arizona’s starter for the contest.

Astros vs. Diamondbacks Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -130
  • Diamondbacks odds to win: +110
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 9 runs
  • Astros vs. Diamondbacks Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Astros vs. Diamondbacks?

    Astros and Diamondbacks Betting Trends

    The Astros have won 50.9% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (59-57).

    Houston has gone 47-43 (winning 52.2% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -130 or shorter.

    The Diamondbacks have entered the game as underdogs 85 times this season and won 41, or 48.2%, of those games.

    Arizona has entered 55 games this season as the underdog by +110 or more and is 23-32 in those contests.

    The Astros have combined with opponents to hit the over on the total 83 times this season for an 83-73-4 record against the over/under.

    The Diamondbacks and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 70 of their 160 opportunities.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros score the fifth-most runs in baseball (818 total, 5.1 per game).

    Houston is seventh in MLB action with 220 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

    The Astros’ .260 batting average is third-best in MLB.

    Houston’s batters strike out 7.7 times per game, the third-fewest strikeouts in baseball.

    The Astros pitching staff is seventh in MLB with a collective 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings.

    Houston has a 3.97 team ERA that ranks eighth across all MLB pitching staffs.

    Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

    The Diamondbacks rank 13th in the majors with 745 total runs scored this season.

    Arizona has hit 166 homers this season, which ranks 22nd in the majors.

    The Diamondbacks’ .251 batting average ranks 13th in the league this season.

    Arizona is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking fourth with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Diamondbacks strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 23rd in MLB.

    Arizona has the 20th-ranked ERA (4.50) in the majors this season.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    The Astros are sending Verlander (12-8) to the mound to make his 27th start of the season. He is 12-8 with a 3.32 ERA and 139 strikeouts in 157 1/3 innings pitched.

    Kyle Tucker leads Houston in batting average (.282) and runs batted in (111) this season while also slugging 29 homers.

    Alex Bregman has 160 hits and an OBP of .363 to go with a slugging percentage of .432 this season.

    Yordan Alvarez’s 31 home runs lead all Houston hitters, and he’s slugging .583.

    Jose Altuve has 111 hits and an OBP of .398 to go with a slugging percentage of .531 this season.

    Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

    Kelly (12-7) will take to the mound for the Diamondbacks and make his 30th start of the season.

    Corbin Carroll has a team-high batting average of .289.

    Christian Walker has hit 33 home runs with 103 runs batted in. Both lead his team.

    Ketel Marte is batting .278 with 26 doubles, nine triples, 25 home runs and 71 walks.

    Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 34 doubles, two triples, 24 home runs and 33 walks while hitting .262.

    Astros and Diamondbacks Injuries

    Astros: Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Diamondbacks: Scott McGough: 15 Day IL (Shoulder), Tommy Henry: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Drey Jameson: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Austin Adams: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Dominic Fletcher: 60 Day IL (Finger), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

    Astros vs. Diamondbacks Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Diamondbacks 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Under 9 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Diamondbacks

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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