Twins vs. Astros Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – ALDS Game 3

The ALDS continues Tuesday at 4:07 PM ET when the Minnesota Twins host the Houston Astros live on FOX from Target Field. Both teams are looking for an all-important win to break the 1-1 tie in the series following the first two games. The Twins are -125 favorites to pick up the win, while the underdog Astros have +104 odds on the moneyline.

Sonny Gray starts for Minnesota while Cristian Javier is Houston’s starter for the contest.

Twins vs. Astros Odds

  • Twins odds to win: -125
  • Astros odds to win: +104
  • Spread: Twins -1.5
  • Total: 8 runs
  • Twins vs. Astros Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Twins vs. Astros?

    Twins and Astros Betting Trends

    The Twins have gone 69-45 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 60.5% of those games).

    Minnesota has a 57-38 record (winning 60% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -125 or shorter.

    This season, the Astros have been the underdog 43 times and won 28, or 65.1%, of those games.

    Houston has entered 27 games this season as the underdog by +104 or more and is 16-11 in those contests.

    In the 166 games in which oddsmakers have set an over/under for the Twins, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 83 times (83-76-7).

    The Astros and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 85 of their 164 opportunities.

    Twins Stats & Insights

    The Twins are the 10th-highest scoring team in baseball, averaging 4.8 runs per game (778 total).

    Minnesota is third in baseball with 233 home runs. They average 1.4 per game.

    The Twins’ .243 batting average ranks 21st in MLB.

    Minnesota strikes out 10.2 times per game, the worst average in MLB.

    The 9.7 strikeouts per nine innings compiled by the Twins pitching staff ranks first in the majors.

    Minnesota has the sixth-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.88).

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros are among the highest scoring teams in the majors, ranking fifth with 827 total runs this season.

    Houston ranks seventh in Major League Baseball with 222 home runs.

    The Astros’ .259 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking fourth in MLB.

    Houston is one of the best teams in baseball at making contact this season, ranking third with an average of 7.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Astros strike out 9.1 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, seventh-best in MLB.

    Houston has pitched to a 3.94 ERA this season, which ranks eighth in baseball.

    Twins Key Players to Watch

    Gray (8-8 with a 2.79 ERA and 183 strikeouts in 184 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Twins, his 33rd of the season.

    Max Kepler leads Minnesota in home runs with 24 and runs batted in with 66.

    Carlos Correa leads Minnesota in batting with a .230 average while slugging 18 homers and driving in 65 runs.

    Willi Castro has collected 92 base hits, an OBP of .339 and a slugging percentage of .411 this season.

    Edouard Julien has collected 89 hits this season and has an OBP of .381. He’s slugging .459 on the year.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    The Astros will send Javier (10-5) to the mound for his 32nd start this season.

    Kyle Tucker has racked up a team-best batting average of .284 and leads the Astros in runs batted in (112).

    Alex Bregman has 28 doubles, four triples, 25 home runs and 92 walks while batting .262.

    Yordan Alvarez leads the Astros with 31 home runs.

    Jose Altuve has 21 doubles, two triples, 17 home runs and 44 walks while batting .311.

    Twins and Astros Injuries

    Twins: Byron Buxton: 10 Day IL (Hamstring), Joey Gallo: 10 Day IL (Foot), Dallas Keuchel: 15 Day IL (Calf), Jovani Moran: 60 Day IL (Forearm), Tyler Mahle: 60 Day IL (Arm), Oliver Ortega: 60 Day IL (Back), José De León: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Jose Miranda: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Nick Gordon: 60 Day IL (Shin), Matt Canterino: 60 Day IL (Undisclosed)

    Astros: Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Twins vs. Astros Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Twins 5, Astros 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8 runs
  • How to Bet on Twins vs. Astros

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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