Astros vs. Rangers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – ALCS Game 6

The ALCS resumes Sunday at 8:03 PM ET when the Houston Astros host the Texas Rangers live on Fox Sports 1 from Minute Maid Park. The Astros would advance to the World Series with a win while the Rangers hope to force a winner-take-all Game 7. The Astros are -121 favorites on the moneyline to win this matchup with the Rangers (+101).

Houston’s Framber Valdez gets the start, and he’ll go against Texas’ Nathan Eovaldi.

Astros vs. Rangers Odds

  • Astros odds to win: -121
  • Rangers odds to win: +101
  • Spread: Astros -1.5
  • Total: 8.5 runs
  • Astros vs. Rangers Promo Codes

    Who Will Win Astros vs. Rangers?

    Astros and Rangers Betting Trends

    The Astros have won 51.2% of the games this season when they were the moneyline favorite (63-60).

    Houston has a record of 58-50 when playing as moneyline favorites with odds of -121 or shorter (53.7% winning percentage).

    This season, the Rangers have been the underdog 57 times and won 30, or 52.6%, of those games.

    This season, Texas has won 20 of its 39 games, or 51.3%, when it’s the underdog by at least +101 on the moneyline.

    The Astros have had an over/under set by oddsmakers 171 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 89 of those games (89-76-6).

    The Rangers and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 88 of their 172 opportunities.

    Astros Stats & Insights

    The Astros score the fifth-most runs in baseball (827 total, 5.1 per game).

    Houston ranks seventh-best in MLB play with 222 total home runs.

    The Astros have the fourth-best batting average in the majors (.259).

    Houston strikes out 7.7 times per game, the third-fewest average in the majors.

    The pitching staff for the Astros has a collective 9.1 K/9, the seventh-best in MLB.

    Houston has a 3.94 team ERA that ranks eighth among all MLB pitching staffs.

    Rangers Stats & Insights

    The Rangers have scored the third-most runs in the league this season with 881.

    Texas has hit 233 homers this season, which ranks third in the majors.

    The Rangers’ .263 batting average is among the best in baseball, ranking second in MLB.

    Texas ranks 17th with an average of 8.7 strikeouts per game.

    The Rangers strike out 8.5 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 22nd in MLB.

    Texas has the 18th-ranked ERA (4.29) in the majors this season.

    Astros Key Players to Watch

    Valdez makes the start for the Astros, his 32nd of the season. He is 12-11 with a 3.45 ERA and 200 strikeouts through 198 2/3 innings pitched.

    Kyle Tucker leads Houston in batting average (.284) and runs batted in (112) this season while also slugging 29 homers.

    Alex Bregman is batting .262 with an OBP of .363 and a slugging percentage of .441 this season.

    Yordan Alvarez is slugging .583 this season, with a team-high 31 home runs. He’s also collected 97 RBI.

    Jose Altuve has 112 hits and an OBP of .393 to go with a slugging percentage of .522 this season.

    Rangers Key Players to Watch

    Eovaldi (12-5) will take the mound for the Rangers, his 26th start of the season.

    Marcus Semien is batting .276 with 40 doubles, four triples, 29 home runs and 72 walks.

    Corey Seager has a club-best .327 batting average.

    Adolis Garcia paces the Rangers in home runs (39) and runs batted in (107).

    Nate Lowe has 38 doubles, three triples, 17 home runs and 93 walks while hitting .262.

    Astros and Rangers Injuries

    Astros: Luis Garcia: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Lance McCullers Jr.: 60 Day IL (Elbow)

    Rangers: Jacob deGrom: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Ian Kennedy: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Brad Miller: 60 Day IL (Hamstring), Brett Martin: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Jake Odorizzi: 60 Day IL (Shoulder)

    Astros vs. Rangers Prediction

  • Score Prediction: Astros 5, Rangers 4
  • Total Prediction: Over 8.5 runs
  • How to Bet on Astros vs. Rangers

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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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