Bam Adebayo and the Miami Heat (44-38) have a chance to grab an upset win when they take the court as just 2-point underdogs against Jayson Tatum and the Boston Celtics (57-25) on Saturday. A 209.5-point over/under has been set for the matchup.
Celtics vs. Heat Odds
Celtics vs. Heat Promo Codes
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Celtics vs. Heat?
Celtics and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games this season they were favored by 2 points or more, the Celtics have a 33-33-3 record against the spread.
In games they have played as at least 2-point underdogs this season, the Heat are 10-11 against the spread.
The Celtics and the Heat combine to average 17.9 more points per game than the over/under of 209.5 set for this game.
Opponents of the two teams average a combined 11.7 more points per game, 221.2, than this game’s over/under of 209.5 points.
The average total the Celtics have had in their games this year is 19.9 more points than this particular game’s point total.
The average point total for Miami this year is 9.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Boston has put together a 44-35-3 record against the spread.
The Heat’s ATS record is 30-48-4 this year.
Celtics Stats & Insights
The Celtics’ +535 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.5 points per game) is a result of scoring 117.9 points per game (fourth in the NBA) while allowing 111.4 per contest (fourth in the league).
The Celtics are seventh in the league at 45.3 rebounds per game. That’s 1.3 more than the 44 their opponents average.
Boston connects on 16 three-pointers per game (second-most in the league), 4.4 more than its opponents (11.6). It is shooting 37.6% from beyond the arc (sixth-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 34.5%.
The Celtics record 115.7 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while allowing 108.8 points per 100 possessions (third in the NBA).
The Celtics’ offense has been much better in home games (120.5 PPG) compared to away games (115.4 PPG). Likewise, their defense has been better at home (110.5 PPG allowed) when compared to away games (112.4 PPG allowed).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat put up 109.5 points per game (30th in league) while giving up 109.8 per contest (second in NBA). They have a -26 scoring differential.
The 40.6 rebounds per game Miami accumulates rank 27th in the league, 1.3 fewer than the 41.9 its opponents collect.
The Heat knock down 12 three-pointers per game (16th in the league), 1.1 fewer than their opponents.
The Heat score 110.4 points per 100 possessions (25th in league), while conceding 110.6 points per 100 possessions (ninth in NBA).
Miami averages 111.4 points per game at home, and 107.5 away.
Celtics Key Players to Watch
Tatum averages 30.1 points, 8.8 rebounds and 4.6 assists per game.
Marcus Smart’s averages this season are 11.5 points, 3.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists per game.
Tatum makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Celtics, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.2 per contest.
Smart averages 1.5 takeaways per game, while Derrick White compiles 0.9 rejections per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 9.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.
Jimmy Butler’s per-game averages this season are 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds.
Max Strus averages 2.5 made threes per game.
Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Heat’s defensive production.
Celtics vs. Heat Prediction
Over (209.5)
Celtics 113 – Heat 111
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