The Miami Heat (44-38) will look to leading scorer Bam Adebayo (20.4 ppg) when they aim to knock off the Nikola Jokic-led Denver Nuggets (53-29) on June 7, 2023. The Heat are 3.5-point underdogs against the Nuggets. A point total of 213.5 has been set for the game.
Nuggets vs. Heat Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Heat?
Nuggets and Heat Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
In games they have played as at least 3.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 28-22-1 against the spread.
In games they have played as at least 3.5-point underdogs this year, the Heat are 7-8 against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 11.8 more points per game (225.3) than this matchup’s total of 213.5 points.
Denver and Miami have seen its opponents average a combined 8.8 more points per game than the over/under of 213.5 set in this outing.
The Nuggets’ average point total in matchups this season is 228.3, 14.8 points higher than the total in this game.
The average point total for Miami this season is 5.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Denver has a 44-36-2 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Heat have compiled a 30-48-4 record against the spread.
Nuggets Stats & Insights
The Nuggets average 115.8 points per game (12th in the league) while allowing 112.5 per contest (eighth in the NBA). They have a +273 scoring differential overall and outscore opponents by 3.3 points per game.
The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.2 boards on average. They collect 43 rebounds per game, which ranks 18th in the league, while their opponents grab 40.8 per outing.
Denver hits 11.8 three-pointers per game (18th in the league), while its opponents have made 11.4 on average.
The Nuggets average 116.3 points per 100 possessions (second in the league), while allowing 112.9 points per 100 possessions (19th in the NBA).
The Nuggets’ offense has been much better when playing at home (119.4 PPG) compared to their play on the road (112.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been much better when playing at home (109.6 PPG allowed) compared to road games (115.3 PPG allowed).
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat score 109.5 points per game (30th in NBA) and concede 109.8 (second in league) for a -26 scoring differential overall.
Miami loses the rebound battle by 1.3 boards on average. It records 40.6 rebounds per game, 27th in the league, while its opponents pull down 41.9.
The Heat hit 1.1 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 12 (16th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 13.1.
The Heat’s 110.4 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 25th in the NBA, and the 110.6 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in the league.
At home Miami is putting up 111.4 points per game, 3.9 more than it is averaging on the road (107.5).
Nuggets Key Players to Watch
The Nuggets get 24.5 points, 11.8 rebounds and 9.8 assists from Jokic.
Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of three per contest.
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 1.5 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon swats 0.8 shots per contest.
Heat Key Players to Watch
Adebayo is at the top of the Heat scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.4 points per game and 9.2 rebounds per game to go with 3.2 assists per contest this season.
The Heat have gotten 22.9 points, 5.3 assists and 5.9 rebounds out of Jimmy Butler this season.
Max Strus averages 2.5 made threes per game.
Butler’s 1.8 steals and Adebayo’s 0.8 blocks per game are vital to the Heat’s defensive performance.
Nuggets vs. Heat Prediction
Heat 112 – Nuggets 111
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