The Los Angeles Lakers (3-3) are just 1.5-point underdogs as they look to end a three-game road losing streak when they take on the Miami Heat (2-4) on Monday, November 6, 2023 at FTX Arena. The matchup airs at 7:30 PM ET on NBA. The matchup’s point total is set at 222.5.
Our computer predictions for Monday’s game will help you place an informed wager by picking the best bets available.
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Pick the Lakers (-1.5) to Cover
The Heat have covered the spread one time this year.
The Lakers have one win against the spread in six games this season.
The Heat have yet to cover the spread this season when favored by 1.5 points or more in three chances.
This year, the Lakers are winless against the spread when entering a game as an underdog of 1.5 points or more.
Take the Points Over (222.5)
Heat games have gone over 222.5 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under, three times (out of six) this season.
This season, three of the Lakers’ six total matchups have gone over 222.5 total points scored.
The two teams average a combined 3.4 fewer points per game (219.1) than this game’s over/under of 222.5 points.
Opponents of these teams have averaged a combined 227.7 points per game, 5.2 more than the point total for this game.
The Heat’s average point total in outings this year is 219.3, 3.2 points below the over/under in this game.
The average point total for the Lakers this year is 5.0 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Moneyline Winner: Lakers (+102)
The Heat have been chosen as favorites in three games this year and have walked away with the win two times (66.7%) in those games.
The Lakers have been listed as the moneyline underdog just two other times so far this season, and they lost both games.
This season, the Heat have been victorious two times in three chances when named as a favorite of at least -122 or shorter on the moneyline.
The Lakers have played two times as a moneyline underdog with odds of +102 or longer, and fell in each game.
The Heat have an implied victory probability of 55% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
The Lakers have a 49.5% chance to win this game based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
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