Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Wednesday, November 8, 2023

The Miami Heat (3-4) are just 1.5-point favorites as they try to end a three-game road losing streak when they square off against the Memphis Grizzlies (1-6) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023 at FedExForum. The contest airs at 8:00 PM ET on BSSE. The matchup’s point total is set at 217.

Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds

  • Heat odds to win: -125
  • Grizzlies odds to win: +105
  • Spread: Heat (-1.5)
  • Total: 217
  • How to Bet on Heat vs. Grizzlies

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, November 8, 2023 at 8:00 PM ET
  • Where: FedExForum in Memphis, Tennessee
  • TV: BSSE
  • Who Will Win Heat vs. Grizzlies?

    Heat and Grizzlies Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Heat are 0-4 against the spread when favored by 1.5 points or more this season.

    When they have played as at least 1.5-point underdogs this season, the Grizzlies are 1-1 against the spread.

    The two teams average a combined 1.3 fewer points per game, 215.7, than this game’s total of 217 points.

    Miami and Memphis have seen its opponents average a combined 9.3 more points per game than the point total of 217 set for this matchup.

    The Heat’s average point total in outings this year is 218.7, 1.7 points higher than the over/under in this game.

    The average total for Memphis’ games this season is 6.3 more points than the point total of 217 in this outing.

    Miami is 1-6-0 against the spread this season.

    The Grizzlies are 2-5-0 against the spread this season.

    Heat Stats & Insights

    The Heat average 107.4 points per game (26th in the league) while allowing 111.3 per contest (14th in the NBA). They have a -27 scoring differential overall and have been outscored by 3.9 points per game.

    The Heat record 43.1 rebounds per game (19th in the league) while allowing 45.1 per contest to their opponents. They are outrebounded by 2.0 boards per game.

    Miami knocks down 12.4 three-pointers per game (13th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.6. It shoots 38.0% from deep while its opponents hit 37.9% from long range.

    The Heat score 108.7 points per 100 possessions (24th in the league), while giving up 112.6 points per 100 possessions (16th in the NBA).

    Grizzlies Stats & Insights

    The Grizzlies have been outscored by 6.7 points per game (posting 108.3 points per game, 24th in league, while allowing 115.0 per outing, 20th in NBA) and have a -47 scoring differential.

    Memphis is 15th in the NBA at 44.7 rebounds per game. That’s 2.7 fewer than the 47.4 its opponents average.

    The Grizzlies make 13.1 three-pointers per game (10th in the league) at a 32.7% rate (25th in NBA), compared to the 16.0 per contest their opponents make, shooting 39.7% from deep.

    The Grizzlies average 105.1 points per 100 possessions on offense (29th in league), and allow 111.7 points per 100 possessions (13th in NBA).

    Heat Key Players to Watch

    The Heat active scoring leader is Tyler Herro, who averages 22.0 per contest to go with 4.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists.

    Kyle Lowry is averaging 5.3 points, 4.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds a game, while Kevin Love adds 11.0 points, 2.0 assists and 9.5 rebounds per outing.

    Herro makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.7 per contest.

    Herro averages 1.3 steals per game, while Lowry has 0.7 blocks per contest.

    Grizzlies Key Players to Watch

    Desmond Bane puts up 24.0 points per game. He also contributes 3.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists per game this season.

    This season, Xavier Tillman is averaging 12.7 points, 3.0 assists and 9.0 rebounds per game.

    Bane averages 3.3 made threes per game.

    The Grizzlies’ defensive efforts get a lift from Marcus Smart (3.0 steals per game) and Jaren Jackson Jr. (3.0 blocks per game).

    Heat vs. Grizzlies Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Heat (- 1.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (217)

  • Prediction:
    Heat 113 – Grizzlies 108
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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