The San Antonio Spurs (3-6) are 2-point underdogs as they try to stop a four-game losing streak when they host the Miami Heat (5-4) on Sunday, November 12, 2023 at AT&T Center. The game airs at 7:00 PM ET on BSSW. The matchup’s over/under is set at 222.
Before you make an informed wager on the contest, check out the best bets available in Sunday’s game according to our computer predictions.
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Pick the Heat (-2) to Cover
In the Heat’s nine games this year, they have three wins against the spread.
The Spurs have played nine games, with four wins against the spread.
This season, the Heat have just one ATS win in four games as a favorite of 2 points or more.
So far this year, the Spurs have been installed as underdogs by a 2-point margin or more eight times and are 3-5 ATS in those contests.
Take the Points Over (222)
Out of nine games so far this season, the Heat have played four with more than 222 points scored, their current matchup’s over/under.
The Spurs have played in eight games this year (88.9% of opportunities) in which the teams combined to score more than 222 points.
The two teams average a combined 0.4 fewer points per game, 221.6, than this game’s over/under of 222 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 234.9 points per game, 12.9 more than the over/under in this game.
The Heat’s average point total in matchups this year is 218.6, 3.4 points fewer than the total in this game.
Spurs games this year have averaged a total of 237.9 points, 15.9 more than the point total in this matchup.
Back the Heat on the Moneyline (-125)
The Heat have been favorites in five games this season and have come away with the win four times (80%) in those contests.
The Spurs have compiled a 2-6 record in games they were the underdog on the moneyline (winning 25% of those games).
The Heat have a mark of 4-1 in contests where bookmakers favor them by -125 or better on the moneyline.
The Spurs are 2-6 (winning only 25% of their games) when they have played as a moneyline underdog of +105 or longer.
The Heat have an implied victory probability of 55.6% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
The Spurs have an implied moneyline win probability of 48.8% in this contest.
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