The Miami Heat (7-4) are favored (-3.5) to build on a six-game winning streak when they host the Brooklyn Nets (6-5) at 7:30 PM ET on Thursday, November 16, 2023 at FTX Arena. The matchup airs on NBA. The matchup’s over/under is set at 214.5.
Heat vs. Nets Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Heat vs. Nets?
Heat and Nets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Heat are winless against the spread (0-3-1) when playing as at least 3.5-point favorites.
The Nets have a 5-1-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 3.5 points or more.
The Heat and Nets average 9.3 more points between them than the over/under of 214.5 for this matchup.
Miami and Brooklyn have seen its opponents average a combined 7.8 more points per game than the point total of 214.5 set for this outing.
The average over/under the Heat have had set in matchups this season is 5.0 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average over/under in Brooklyn’s games this season is 12.1 more points than the point total of 214.5 in this outing.
Miami is 4-6-1 against the spread this season.
The Nets have gone 9-1-1 ATS this season.
Heat Stats & Insights
The Heat score 109.6 points per game (24th in the NBA) and give up 109.8 (seventh in the league) for a -2 scoring differential overall.
The Heat lose the rebound battle by an average of 2.7 boards. They are recording 42.5 rebounds per game (21st in the league) compared to their opponents’ 45.2 per contest.
Miami knocks down 1.9 fewer threes per game than the opposition, 11.8 (18th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 13.7.
The Heat’s 112 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 19th in the NBA, and the 112.2 points they allow per 100 possessions rank 11th in the league.
The Heat have scored at a lower clip in home games than on the road in the 2023-24 season (109.3 at home versus 109.9 on the road), and have given up fewer points in home games than on the road (108 opponent points per home game versus 110.9 on the road).
Nets Stats & Insights
The Nets are outscoring opponents by 1.7 points per game, with a +19 scoring differential overall. They put up 114.2 points per game (12th in NBA) and allow 112.5 per contest (17th in league).
Brooklyn wins the rebound battle by 3.4 boards on average. It collects 47.5 rebounds per game, second in the league, while its opponents pull down 44.1.
The Nets knock down 15.5 three-pointers per game (third-most in the league), two more than their opponents. They are shooting 38% from deep (third-best in NBA), and opponents are shooting 33.3%.
The Nets rank eighth in the league averaging 115.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 17th, allowing 114.1 points per 100 possessions.
In 2023-24 Brooklyn is averaging 2.6 fewer points per game at home (113) than on the road (115.6).
Heat Key Players to Watch
Tyler Herro is a key contributor on the scoresheet for the Heat, tallying 22.0 points per game to go with 4.3 rebounds and 4.3 assists.
Kyle Lowry contributes with 5.3 points, 4.7 assists and 4.7 rebounds per game, and Kevin Love adds 11.0 points, 2.0 assists and 9.5 rebounds per outing.
Herro makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Heat, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 3.7 per contest.
Herro averages 1.3 steals per game, while Lowry has 0.7 blocks per contest.
Nets Key Players to Watch
Ben Simmons averages 10.0 rebounds per game, 8.3 assists per game, and 8.3 points per game.
The Nets have gotten 33.0 points, 2.0 assists and 4.0 rebounds out of Cameron Thomas this season.
Dorian Finney-Smith knocks down 3.3 threes per game.
The Nets’ defensive efforts get a lift from Mikal Bridges (1.3 steals per game) and Simmons (1.3 blocks per game).
Heat vs. Nets Prediction
Over (214.5)
Heat 112 – Nets 111
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