Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Thursday, November 16, 2023

The Golden State Warriors (6-6) will attempt to end a four-game losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (7-4) on Thursday, November 16, 2023 at Chase Center as only 3-point underdogs. The game airs at 10:00 PM ET on NBCS. The point total in the matchup is set at 226.5.

Thunder vs. Warriors Odds

  • Thunder odds to win: -166
  • Warriors odds to win: +140
  • Spread: Thunder (-3)
  • Total: 226.5
  • How to Bet on Thunder vs. Warriors

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Thursday, November 16, 2023 at 10:00 PM ET
  • Where: Chase Center in San Francisco, California
  • TV: NBCS
  • Who Will Win Thunder vs. Warriors?

    Thunder and Warriors Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Thunder are 2-1 against the spread when favored by 3 points or more this season.

    The Warriors are 3-0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 3 points or more this year.

    The two teams average a combined 2.9 more points per game, 229.4, than this game’s over/under of 226.5 points.

    Oklahoma City and Golden State have seen its opponents average a combined 4.1 fewer points per game than the point total of 226.5 set for this matchup.

    The Thunder’s average total in matchups this season has been 228.2, 1.7 points higher than the over/under in this particular game.

    The average over/under for Golden State’s games this season is 2.8 fewer points than the point total of 226.5 for this outing.

    Oklahoma City has an 8-3-0 record against the spread this season.

    The Warriors are 5-6-1 ATS this year.

    Thunder Stats & Insights

    The Thunder’s +54 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.9 points per game) is a result of scoring 116.5 points per game (seventh in the NBA) while allowing 111.6 per contest (10th in the league).

    The 40.5 rebounds per game the Thunder average rank 29th in the league, and are 6.9 fewer than the 47.4 their opponents pull down per outing.

    Oklahoma City connects on 11.9 three-pointers per game (17th in the league), while its opponents have made 12.3 on average.

    The Thunder score 115.3 points per 100 possessions (10th in the league), while giving up 110.4 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the NBA).

    The Thunder’s offense has been drastically better at home (120.1 PPG) compared to road games (110.3 PPG). Meanwhile, their defense has been much worse when playing at home (116.4 PPG allowed) compared to their play on the road (103.3 PPG allowed).

    Warriors Stats & Insights

    The Warriors have a +26 scoring differential, topping opponents by 2.1 points per game. They’re putting up 112.9 points per game, 16th in the league, and are giving up 110.8 per outing to rank eighth in the NBA.

    Golden State prevails in the rebound battle by an average of 2.5 boards. It collects 47 rebounds per game (fifth in league) compared to its opponents’ 44.5.

    The Warriors make 13.6 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league) at a 34.8% rate (21st in NBA), compared to the 11.4 per game their opponents make, at a 34.1% rate.

    The Warriors average 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (16th in league), and concede 112 points per 100 possessions (10th in NBA).

    In 2023-24 Golden State is averaging 12.9 fewer points per game at home (105.4) than on the road (118.3).

    Thunder Key Players to Watch

    The active leader in points and assists for the Thunder this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 24.0 points and dishes out 7.0 assists per game.

    Chet Holmgren’s averages this season are 15.3 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.7 assists per game.

    Holmgren leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.

    Gilgeous-Alexander averages 2.3 steals per game, while Holmgren has 2.3 blocks per contest.

    Warriors Key Players to Watch

    Stephen Curry puts up 30.7 points per game. He also adds 5.3 rebounds per outing and 3.7 assists per contest.

    This season, Kevon Looney is averaging 6.7 points, 2.7 assists and 11.3 rebounds per game.

    Curry knocks down 5.7 threes per game.

    The Warriors’ defensive effort gets a boost from Gary Payton II (2.3 steals per game) and Dario Saric (1.0 block per game).

    Thunder vs. Warriors Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Warriors (+ 3)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (226.5)

  • Prediction:
    Warriors 115 – Thunder 111
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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