The Milwaukee Bucks (8-4) are 2-point favorites as they try to build on a three-game winning streak when they host the Dallas Mavericks (9-3) on Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Fiserv Forum. The matchup airs at 8:00 PM ET on NBA. The matchup’s point total is set at 246.5.
Bucks vs. Mavericks Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Bucks vs. Mavericks?
Bucks and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Bucks have a 2-7-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 2 points or more this season.
The Mavericks are 0-1 against the spread when an underdog by 2 points or greater this season.
The two teams average a combined 5.0 fewer points per game (241.5) than this matchup’s total of 246.5 points.
Milwaukee and Dallas have seen its opponents average a combined 11.6 fewer points per game than the over/under of 246.5 set in this outing.
The Bucks’ average point total in outings this year is 234.3, 12.2 points below the over/under in this game.
The average point total for Dallas this year is 4.4 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
Milwaukee is 3-8-1 against the spread this season.
The Mavericks have a 7-5-0 record against the spread this season.
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks outscore opponents by 1.9 points per game (scoring 118.1 points per game to rank sixth in the league while giving up 116.2 per outing to rank 23rd in the NBA) and have a +23 scoring differential overall.
The 41.6 rebounds per game the Bucks average rank 27th in the league, and are 4.9 fewer than the 46.5 their opponents record per contest.
Milwaukee knocks down 14.5 three-pointers per game (sixth-most in the league) at a 38.2% rate (fifth-best in the NBA), compared to the 12.6 per game its opponents make at a 35.0% rate.
The Bucks put up 117.8 points per 100 possessions (seventh in the league), while allowing 115.9 points per 100 possessions (22nd in the NBA).
So far in 2023-24, the Bucks’ offense has been worse at home, where they score 116.3 points per game, compared to on the road, where they put up 119.8 per game. On defense, they have been better when playing at home, where they give up 115.0 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to score 117.3 per game.
Mavericks Stats & Insights
The Mavericks put up 123.4 points per game (second in league) while allowing 118.7 per outing (25th in NBA). They have a +57 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.7 points per game.
Dallas is 22nd in the league at 42.1 rebounds per game. That’s 3.7 fewer than the 45.8 its opponents average.
The Mavericks hit 17.2 three-pointers per game (first in the league) while shooting 39.5% from beyond the arc (first in NBA). They are making 4.9 more threes than their opponents, who drain 12.3 per game at 36.3%.
The Mavericks rank second in the league averaging 121.8 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 24th, allowing 117.1 points per 100 possessions.
Dallas averages 124.6 points per game at home, and 122.6 away.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
The Bucks get 24.5 points, 11.5 rebounds and 3.0 assists from Giannis Antetokounmpo.
Damian Lillard contributes with 6.0 boards and 4.5 assists per game in addition to his 22.5 PPG scoring average.
Lillard leads active Bucks in three-point shooting, making an average of 3.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Malik Beasley picks pockets to the tune of 2.0 takeaways per game, while Antetokounmpo records 2.0 rejections per contest.
Mavericks Key Players to Watch
Luka Doncic has averaged 41.0 points, pulled down 11.5 rebounds and handed out 8.5 assists per game so far in 2023-24.
Doncic hits 6.0 threes per game.
Josh Green’s 2.0 steals and Dereck Lively II’s 1.0 block per game are vital to the Mavericks’ defensive production.
Bucks vs. Mavericks Prediction
Under (246.5)
Bucks 120 – Mavericks 118
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