The Golden State Warriors (6-7) will look to break a five-game losing streak when they host the Oklahoma City Thunder (8-4) on Saturday, November 18, 2023 at Chase Center as only 2-point favorites. The contest airs at 8:30 PM ET on NBCS. The matchup has a point total of 235.5.
Warriors vs. Thunder Odds
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Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Warriors vs. Thunder?
Warriors and Thunder Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Warriors have a 2-5 record against the spread when favored by 2 points or more this season.
In games this year in which they were an underdog by 2 points or more, the Thunder have a 5-1 record against the spread.
The two teams average a combined 5.4 fewer points per game (230.1) than this matchup’s over/under of 235.5 points.
Golden State and Oklahoma City have seen its opponents average a combined 12.0 fewer points per game than the point total of 235.5 set for this game.
The Warriors’ average point total in outings this season is 224.7, 10.8 points below the total in this game.
The average point total for Oklahoma City this season is 6.6 points fewer than this game’s over/under.
So far this season, Golden State has put together a 5-7-1 record against the spread.
The Thunder’s ATS record is 9-3-0 this year.
Warriors Stats & Insights
The Warriors score 112.6 points per game (15th in the NBA) and give up 112.1 (14th in the league) for a +7 scoring differential overall.
The Warriors prevail in the rebound battle by an average of 2.9 boards. They are collecting 47.2 rebounds per game (third in the league) compared to their opponents’ 44.3 per outing.
Golden State makes 1.6 more threes per contest than the opposition, 13.6 (10th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 12.
The Warriors rank 14th in the league by averaging 113.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are 15th in the NBA, allowing 113.3 points per 100 possessions.
The Warriors have been much worse offensively at home, where they score 106 points per game, compared to road games, where they record 118.3 per game. Defensively, they are slightly worse when playing at home, where they surrender 112.5 points per game, versus playing on the road, where they let their opponents to average 111.7 per game.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder’s +73 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.1 points per game) is a result of putting up 117.5 points per game (seventh in NBA) while allowing 111.4 per contest (12th in league).
Oklahoma City is 29th in the league at 40.6 rebounds per game. That’s 6.9 fewer than the 47.5 its opponents average.
The Thunder make 12.5 three-pointers per game (14th in the league) at a 39.5% rate (first in NBA), compared to the 12.4 their opponents make, shooting 33.7% from deep.
The Thunder rank ninth in the NBA with 116.4 points scored per 100 possessions, and sixth defensively with 110.4 points conceded per 100 possessions.
At home Oklahoma City is putting up 120.1 points per game, 6.3 more than it is averaging on the road (113.8).
Warriors Key Players to Watch
Stephen Curry is a key contributor on the scoresheet for the Warriors, tallying 30.7 points per game to go with 5.3 rebounds and 3.7 assists.
Kevon Looney adds 6.7 points, 2.7 assists and 11.3 rebounds per matchup. Chris Paul puts up 10.7 points, 9.3 assists and 4.3 rebounds a game.
The Warriors get 5.7 three-pointers per game out of Curry.
Gary Payton II averages 2.3 steals per game, while Dario Saric swats 1.0 shot per contest.
Thunder Key Players to Watch
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s performance this season has resulted in strong scoring and assists numbers, with 24.0 points per game and 7.0 assists per game to go with 6.7 rebounds per contest.
Chet Holmgren has per-game averages of 15.3 points, 1.7 assists and 7.0 rebounds this season.
Holmgren hits 2.0 threes per game.
The Thunder’s defensive effort gets a lift from Gilgeous-Alexander’s 2.3 steals and Holmgren’s 2.3 blocks per game.
Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction
Under (235.5)
Warriors 114 – Thunder 113
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