Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, November 20, 2023

The Detroit Pistons (2-12) are 9-point underdogs as they attempt to break an 11-game losing streak when they host the Denver Nuggets (9-4) on Monday, November 20, 2023 at Little Caesars Arena. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on BSDE. The matchup has an over/under set at 224.5 points.

Nuggets vs. Pistons Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -395
  • Pistons odds to win: +310
  • Spread: Nuggets (-9)
  • Total: 224.5
  • How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Pistons

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Monday, November 20, 2023 at 7:00 PM ET
  • Where: Little Caesars Arena in Detroit, Michigan
  • TV: BSDE
  • Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Pistons?

    Nuggets and Pistons Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    When they have played as at least 9-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 1-0 against the spread.

    The Pistons have a 3-2 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 9 points or more.

    The two teams average a combined 0.8 fewer points per game, 223.7, than this game’s over/under of 224.5 points.

    Denver and Detroit have seen its opponents average a combined 0.2 more points per game than the over/under of 224.5 set for this game.

    The average point total for Nuggets games this year is 2.7 fewer points than the total of 224.5 in this matchup.

    The average point total for Detroit this year is 2.1 points higher than this game’s over/under.

    Denver has gone 5-8-0 ATS this season.

    The Pistons are 6-8-0 against the spread this year.

    Nuggets Stats & Insights

    The Nuggets have a +73 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.6 points per game. They’re putting up 113.7 points per game to rank 12th in the league and are allowing 108.1 per outing to rank sixth in the NBA.

    The Nuggets average 44.2 rebounds per game (15th in the league) while conceding 42.3 per contest to their opponents. They outrebound opponents by 1.9 boards per game.

    Denver makes 11.5 three-pointers per game (20th in the league) at a 35.5% rate (18th in the NBA), compared to the 10.7 its opponents make while shooting 35.1% from beyond the arc.

    The Nuggets’ 117.8 points per 100 possessions on offense rank eighth in the NBA, and the 112 points they allow per 100 possessions rank ninth in the league.

    The Nuggets have scored at a much higher rate in home games than away from home in the 2023-24 season (118.6 at home versus 108 on the road), though they have allowed fewer points in home games than away from home (107.6 opponent points per home game versus 108.7 on the road).

    Pistons Stats & Insights

    The Pistons are being outscored by 6.6 points per game, with a -92 scoring differential overall. They put up 110 points per game (24th in NBA), and give up 116.6 per contest (22nd in league).

    Detroit wins the rebound battle by 4.6 boards on average. It collects 46.1 rebounds per game, seventh in the league, while its opponents pull down 41.5.

    The Pistons make 10.5 three-pointers per game (26th in the league) compared to their opponents’ 10.4. They shoot 35.3% from deep, and their opponents shoot 36%.

    The Pistons average 110.8 points per 100 possessions (23rd in league), while giving up 117.4 points per 100 possessions (24th in NBA).

    At home, Detroit averages 110 points per game. On the road, it averages the same number.

    Nuggets Key Players to Watch

    Nikola Jokic accumulates 26.3 points and 13.0 rebounds and 7.7 assists per game.

    The Nuggets get 2.7 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope averages 3.3 steals per game, while Aaron Gordon has 1.7 blocks per contest.

    Pistons Key Players to Watch

    Cade Cunningham takes the top spot on the Pistons scoring and assist lists among active players, putting up 22.3 points and 8.3 assists per game.

    Jalen Duren’s per-game averages this season are 18.0 points, 4.0 assists and 15.3 rebounds.

    Alec Burks knocks down 3.7 threes per game.

    The Pistons’ defensive effort gets a boost from Killian Hayes’ 1.7 steals and Duren’s 2.7 blocks per game.

    Nuggets vs. Pistons Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Pistons (+ 9)
  • Pick OU:

    Under (224.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 115 – Pistons 107
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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