Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets – Wednesday, November 29, 2023

The Denver Nuggets (12-6) host the Houston Rockets (8-7) after winning eight home games in a row. The Nuggets are favored by 9.5 points in the matchup, which tips at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, November 29, 2023. The matchup has a point total of 216.5.

Nuggets vs. Rockets Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -425
  • Rockets odds to win: +330
  • Spread: Nuggets (-9.5)
  • Total: 216.5
  • How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Rockets

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Wednesday, November 29, 2023 at 9:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ALT
  • Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Rockets?

    Nuggets and Rockets Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    In games they have played as at least 9.5-point favorites this season, the Nuggets are 1-1 against the spread.

    The two teams average a combined 6.6 more points per game, 223.1, than this game’s total of 216.5 points.

    Denver and Houston have seen its opponents average a combined 2.1 fewer points per game than the over/under of 216.5 set in this game.

    The average total the Nuggets have had in their games this year is 5.5 more points than this particular game’s point total.

    The average total for Houston’s games this season is 1.0 fewer point than the point total of 216.5 in this outing.

    Denver’s ATS record is 7-11-0 this season.

    The Rockets’ ATS record is 10-4-1 this season.

    Nuggets Stats & Insights

    The Nuggets’ +74 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 4.2 points per game) is a result of scoring 113.1 points per game (14th in the NBA) while giving up 108.9 per outing (seventh in the league).

    The Nuggets win the rebound battle by 2.0 boards on average. They record 44.6 rebounds per game, which ranks 15th in the league, while their opponents pull down 42.6 per contest.

    Denver makes 11.4 three-pointers per game (22nd in the league) compared to its opponents’ 10.4. It shoots 36.2% from deep while its opponents hit 35.3% from long range.

    The Nuggets rank 10th in the league by averaging 116.9 points per 100 possessions on offense, and defensively are eighth in the NBA, allowing 112.6 points per 100 possessions.

    The Nuggets have scored at a much higher clip at home than away from home in the 2023-24 season (120.3 at home versus 107.3 on the road), and have also given up more points in home games than away from home (109.1 opponent points per home game versus 108.8 on the road).

    Rockets Stats & Insights

    The Rockets put up 110.0 points per game (25th in league) while giving up 105.5 per outing (second in NBA). They have a +68 scoring differential and outscore opponents by 4.5 points per game.

    Houston pulls down 43.8 rebounds per game (18th in league), compared to the 44.3 of its opponents.

    The Rockets connect on 12.2 three-pointers per game (16th in the league) while shooting 35.7% from deep (16th in NBA). They are making 1.1 more threes than their opponents, who drain 11.1 per game at 32.4%.

    The Rockets rank 17th in the NBA with 113.7 points scored per 100 possessions, and fourth defensively with 109.0 points conceded per 100 possessions.

    At home Houston is putting up 111.9 points per game, 4.7 more than it is averaging on the road (107.2).

    Nuggets Key Players to Watch

    The Nuggets get 28.8 points, 13.4 rebounds and 8.9 assists from Nikola Jokic.

    Michael Porter Jr. makes more threes per game than any other (active) member of the Nuggets, knocking down shots from beyond the arc at a clip of 2.9 per contest.

    Kentavious Caldwell-Pope picks pockets to the tune of 1.6 takeaways per game, while Peyton Watson compiles 1.0 block per contest.

    Rockets Key Players to Watch

    Alperen Sengun is at the top of the Rockets scoring and rebounding leaderboards with 20.9 points per game and 9.1 rebounds per game to go with 5.7 assists per contest this season.

    The Rockets have gotten 16.1 points, 9.2 assists and 4.1 rebounds out of Fred VanVleet this season.

    VanVleet hits 3.0 threes per game.

    The Rockets’ defensive effort gets a lift from Jae’Sean Tate (1.1 steals per game) and Sengun (0.7 blocks per game).

    Nuggets vs. Rockets Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Rockets (+ 9.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (216.5)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 111 – Rockets 108
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    written by

    Matt is from the Chicagoland area and has been working in Chicago sports since 2015 with stops at WGN Radio, the Chicago Blackhawks, Stadium, and NBC Sports Chicago prior to landing at Betsperts. Matt covers just about everything for Betsperts and Bleacher Nation but focuses on the NHL and college football.

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