The Oklahoma City Thunder (55-25) are heavy favorites (-14) as they try to continue a three-game home winning streak when they host the Milwaukee Bucks (49-31) on Friday, April 12, 2024 at Paycom Center. The game airs at 8:00 PM ET on KSBI. The matchup has an over/under set at 224 points.
Thunder vs. Bucks Odds
How to Bet on Thunder vs. Bucks
Game Time and Information
Who Will Win Thunder vs. Bucks?
Thunder and Bucks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread
The Thunder have a 5-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 14 points or more.
The two teams average a combined 15.3 more points per game (239.3) than this game’s over/under of 224 points.
Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 229.4 points per game, 5.4 more than the over/under in this matchup.
The average total the Thunder have had set in matchups this year is 8.9 more points than this outing’s point total.
The average point total for Milwaukee this year is 11.8 points higher than this game’s over/under.
Oklahoma City has a 44-35-1 record against the spread this season.
So far this season, the Bucks have put together a 35-44-1 record against the spread.
Thunder Stats & Insights
The Thunder’s +541 scoring differential (outscoring opponents by 6.7 points per game) is a result of scoring 119.8 points per game (third in the NBA) while allowing 113.1 per outing (12th in the league).
The 41.9 rebounds per game the Thunder average rank 27th in the league, and are 2.9 fewer than the 44.8 their opponents pull down per contest.
Oklahoma City makes 13.3 three-pointers per game (ninth-most in the league), while its opponents have made 13.5 on average.
The Thunder put up 120.2 points per 100 possessions (third in the league), while allowing 113.4 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the NBA).
The Thunder have been significantly better offensively at home, where they score 122.8 points per game, compared to road games, where they score 117.0 per game. Defensively, they are better at home, where they give up 110.9 points per game, versus road games, where they let their opponents to average 115.2 per game.
Bucks Stats & Insights
The Bucks are outscoring opponents by 3.2 points per game, with a +258 scoring differential overall. They put up 119.5 points per game (fourth in NBA) and allow 116.3 per outing (21st in league).
The 44.3 rebounds per game Milwaukee accumulates rank eighth in the NBA. Their opponents grab 44.1.
The Bucks make 14.3 three-pointers per game (fifth-most in the league) at a 37.4% rate (10th in NBA), compared to the 12.6 per game their opponents make, at a 35.7% rate.
The Bucks average 119.5 points per 100 possessions on offense (fifth in league), and allow 116.3 points per 100 possessions (17th in NBA).
Milwaukee is scoring more points at home (121.2 per game) than away (117.7).
Thunder Key Players to Watch
The active leader in points and assists for the Thunder this season is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, who scores 30.4 points and dishes out 6.2 assists per game.
Chet Holmgren contributes with 7.9 boards and 2.5 assists per game in addition to his 16.5 PPG scoring average.
Luguentz Dort leads active Thunder in three-point shooting, knocking down an average of 2.0 shots per game from beyond the arc.
Gilgeous-Alexander picks up 2.1 takeaways per game, while Holmgren compiles 2.3 rejections per contest.
Bucks Key Players to Watch
The Bucks go-to guy, Damian Lillard, leads active Bucks players in both scoring (24.4 points per game) and assists (7.0 assists per game).
This season, Bobby Portis has a statline that includes 13.9 points, 1.3 assists and 7.4 rebounds per game.
Malik Beasley knocks down 2.9 threes per game.
The Bucks’ defensive efforts get a boost from Lillard (1.0 steal per game) and Brook Lopez (2.4 blocks per game).
Thunder vs. Bucks Prediction
Over (224)
Thunder 121 – Bucks 114