Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats and Best Bets for NBA Playoffs Game 1 – Saturday, April 20, 2024

The Denver Nuggets are 6.5-point favorites in Game 1 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Los Angeles Lakers at Ball Arena on Saturday, starting at 8:30 PM ET on ABC. The point total in the matchup is set at 227.

Nuggets vs. Lakers Odds

  • Nuggets odds to win: -258
  • Lakers odds to win: +210
  • Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)
  • Total: 227
  • How to Bet on Nuggets vs. Lakers

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    Game Time and Information

  • When: Saturday, April 20, 2024 at 8:30 PM ET
  • Where: Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado
  • TV: ABC
  • Who Will Win Nuggets vs. Lakers?

    Nuggets and Lakers Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

    The Nuggets have a 20-19-1 record against the spread this season when favored by 6.5 points or more.

    In games this year in which they were an underdog by 6.5 points or more, the Lakers have a 3-1 record against the spread.

    The Nuggets and Lakers average 5.9 more points between them than the total of 227 for this game.

    Opponents of these two teams have averaged a combined 227 points per game, which equals the point total for this game.

    The average point total in Nuggets games this season is 2.5 fewer points than the over/under of 227 in this matchup.

    The average total in Los Angeles’ games this year is 8.5 more points than the point total of 227 in this outing.

    Denver is 38-42-2 against the spread this season.

    The Lakers’ ATS record is 38-44-0 this season.

    Nuggets Stats & Insights

    The Nuggets have a +431 scoring differential, topping opponents by 5.3 points per game. They’re putting up 114.9 points per game to rank 14th in the league and are allowing 109.6 per contest to rank sixth in the NBA.

    The Nuggets are seventh in the league at 44.4 rebounds per game. That’s 2.1 more than the 42.3 their opponents average.

    Denver makes 11.7 three-pointers per game (25th in the league) compared to its opponents’ 11.2. It shoots 37.4% from deep while its opponents hit 35.5% from long range.

    The Nuggets record 119.4 points per 100 possessions (fifth in the league), while allowing 113.9 points per 100 possessions (eighth in the NBA).

    The Nuggets’ offense has been much better at home (118.5 PPG) compared to their play on the road (111.2 PPG). Similarly, their defense has been better at home (108.7 PPG allowed) when compared to their play on the road (110.5 PPG allowed).

    Lakers Stats & Insights

    The Lakers have a +49 scoring differential, putting up 118.0 points per game (sixth in league) and allowing 117.4 (23rd in NBA).

    Los Angeles ranks 18th in the NBA at 43.1 rebounds per game. That’s similar to the 44.0 its opponents average.

    The Lakers hit 11.8 three-pointers per game (24th in the league), 2.5 fewer than their opponents. They are shooting 37.7% from beyond the arc (eighth-best in NBA) and opponents are shooting 37.6%.

    The Lakers’ 116.7 points per 100 possessions on offense rank 15th in the NBA, and the 116.1 points they concede per 100 possessions rank 16th in the league.

    At home, Los Angeles averages 119.0 points per game. On the road, it averages 117.0.

    Nuggets Key Players to Watch

    The Nuggets get 26.4 points, 12.4 rebounds and 9.0 assists from Nikola Jokic.

    The Nuggets get 2.7 three-pointers per game out of Michael Porter Jr..

    Jokic averages 1.4 steals per game, while Peyton Watson swats 1.1 shots per contest.

    Lakers Key Players to Watch

    Anthony Davis has the top Lakers spot in two categories among active players: scoring (24.7 points per game) and rebounding (12.6 rebounds per game). He also has 3.5 assists per contest.

    LeBron James’ per-game averages this season are 25.7 points, 8.3 assists and 7.3 rebounds.

    D’Angelo Russell knocks down 3.0 threes per game.

    Davis’ 1.2 steals and 2.3 blocks per game are important to the Lakers’ defensive production.

    Nuggets vs. Lakers Prediction

  • Pick ATS: Nuggets (- 6.5)
  • Pick OU:

    Over (227)

  • Prediction:
    Nuggets 119 – Lakers 111
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