Bills vs. Raiders Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, September 17, 2023

The Buffalo Bills (0-1) are listed as 7.5-point favorites on Sunday, September 17, 2023 against the Las Vegas Raiders (1-0).

Bills vs. Raiders Game Info

  • When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
  • TV Info: CBS
  • Spread Favorite: Bills (-7.5)
  • Moneyline: Bills (-355), Raiders (+280)
  • Total: 47 points
  • Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo compiled an 8-8-0 record against the spread last season.
  • The Bills were 5-5 ATS last season when playing as at least 7.5-point favorites.
  • Last season, six Buffalo games went over the point total.
  • The Bills finished with a 13-3 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 81.2% of those games).
  • Buffalo had a 4-4 ATS record in home games last year while going 7-1 overall in those contests.
  • Buffalo’s average point total in matchups last year was 47.8, 0.8 points higher than the over/under in this game.
  • Raiders Betting Insights

  • Las Vegas went 8-9-0 ATS last year.
  • The Raiders were an underdog by 7.5 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those games.
  • In Las Vegas games last season, combined scoring went over the point total eight times.
  • The Raiders were underdogs in seven games last season and won two (28.6%) of those contests.
  • Away from home last season, Las Vegas was 3-6 against the spread, and 2-7 overall.
  • Games involving Las Vegas last year averaged 46.3 points per game, a 0.7-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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    Buffalo vs. Las Vegas: Recent Matchups

    Bills vs Raiders: Last Five Meetings
    Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
    10/4/2020 Bills Raiders -3.5 52.5 -175 +150 383-337 30-23 BUF

    Key Players for Bills vs. Raiders (2022 Stats)

    Buffalo

    Name Position Stats
    Josh Allen QB 4,283 YDS (63.3%) / 35 TD / 14 INT
    762 RUSH YDS / 7 RUSH TD / 47.6 RUSH YPG
    Stefon Diggs WR 108 REC / 1,429 YDS / 11 TD / 89.3 YPG
    Latavius Murray RB 760 YDS / 6 TD / 58.5 YPG / 4.4 YPC
    27 REC / 132 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.2 REC YPG
    Gabriel Davis WR 48 REC / 836 YDS / 7 TD / 55.7 YPG
    Matt Milano LB 99 TKL / 12.00 TFL / 1.50 SACK / 3 INT
    Leonard Floyd DE 59 TKL / 10.00 TFL / 9.00 SACK
    Taron Johnson CB 89 TKL / 6.00 TFL / 1 INT / 9 PD
    Taylor Rapp S 92 TKL / 2.00 TFL / 2 INT / 6 PD

    Las Vegas

    Name Position Stats
    Josh Jacobs RB 1,653 YDS / 12 TD / 97.2 YPG / 4.9 YPC
    53 REC / 400 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 23.5 REC YPG
    Davante Adams WR 100 REC / 1,516 YDS / 14 TD / 89.2 YPG
    Jimmy Garoppolo QB 2,437 YDS (67.2%) / 16 TD / 4 INT
    33 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 3.0 RUSH YPG
    DeAndre Carter WR 46 REC / 538 YDS / 3 TD / 31.6 YPG
    Maxx Crosby DE 88 TKL / 22.00 TFL / 12.50 SACK
    Marcus Epps S 92 TKL / 4.00 TFL
    Nate Hobbs CB 72 TKL / 3.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK
    Robert Spillane LB 77 TKL / 4.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK

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    Bills’ Offense vs. Raiders’ Defense (2022)

    Bills Offense Stats (Rank) Raiders Defense
    28.4 (2) Points/Gm 24.6 (26)
    0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.4 (19)
    397.6 (2) Yards/Gm 365.6 (28)
    258.1 (7) Pass Yards/Gm 242.9 (29)
    139.5 (7) Rush Yards/Gm 122.8 (19)
    6.1 (2) Yards/Play 5.8 (27)
    7.2 (6) Yards/Pass 7.0 (25)
    5.2 (2) Yards/Rush 4.5 (19)
    50.3% (1) 3rd Down % 41.7% (26)
    60.3% (9) Red Zone % 66.0% (30)
    27 (30) Turnovers 13 (32)
    33 (8) Sacks 27 (30)

    Raiders’ Offense vs. Bills’ Defense (2022)

    Raiders Offense Stats (Rank) Bills Defense
    23.2 (12) Points/Gm 17.9 (2)
    0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.3 (1)
    352.5 (12) Yards/Gm 319.1 (6)
    231.4 (11) Pass Yards/Gm 214.6 (15)
    121.1 (17) Rush Yards/Gm 104.6 (5)
    5.7 (7) Yards/Play 5.1 (7)
    6.7 (10) Yards/Pass 6.0 (5)
    4.8 (5) Yards/Rush 4.3 (11)
    39.9% (16) 3rd Down % 37.5% (7)
    48.9% (26) Red Zone % 44.9% (2)
    21 (8) Turnovers 27 (4)
    35 (9) Sacks 40 (14)

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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