Colts vs. Texans Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, September 17, 2023

Sportsbooks expect a close contest between AFC South foes when the Indianapolis Colts (0-1) visit the Houston Texans (0-1) on Sunday, September 17, 2023 at NRG Stadium. Houston is a 1-point underdogs.

Colts vs. Texans Game Info

  • When: Sunday, September 17, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: NRG Stadium in Houston, Texas
  • TV Info: FOX
  • Spread Favorite: Colts (-1)
  • Moneyline: Colts (-110), Texans (-110)
  • Total: 40 points
  • Colts Betting Insights

  • Indianapolis covered six times in 17 chances against the spread last season.
  • The Colts covered the spread once when favored by 1 point or more last season (in seven opportunities).
  • A total of seven Indianapolis games last season hit the over.
  • The Colts put together a 1-5-1 record in games they were favored on the moneyline last season (winning 14.3% of those games).
  • Indianapolis was 2-6-1 overall, and 3-6 against the spread, in away games last season.
  • The average over/under Indianapolis had set in matchups last year was 2.9 more points than this outing’s point total.
  • Texans Betting Insights

  • Houston compiled a 9-7-1 record against the spread last year.
  • The Texans were 9-7-1 ATS last season when playing as at least 1-point underdogs.
  • Houston and its opponent combined to go over the point total seven out of 17 times last season.
  • Last season, the Texans won three out of the 17 games, or 17.6%, in which they were the underdog.
  • Houston had a 3-5 record against the spread at home last season and was 0-7-1 in home contests.
  • Last season, Houston’s games resulted in an average scoring total of 43.2, which is 3.2 points higher than the over/under for this matchup.
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    Indianapolis vs. Houston: Recent Matchups

    Colts vs Texans: Last Five Meetings
    Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
    1/8/2023 Colts Colts -3 37.5 -140 +120 398-360 32-31 HOU
    9/11/2022 Colts Texans -7 46 -300 +250 517-299 20-20 tie
    12/5/2021 Colts Texans -10 45.5 -450 +340 389-141 31-0 IND
    10/17/2021 Colts Colts -11 45 -550 +400 388-353 31-3 IND
    12/20/2020 Colts Colts -7.5 51.5 -360 +295 425-350 27-20 IND

    Key Players for Colts vs. Texans (2022 Stats)

    Indianapolis

    Name Position Stats
    Michael Pittman Jr. WR 99 REC / 925 YDS / 4 TD / 57.8 YPG
    Isaiah McKenzie WR 42 REC / 423 YDS / 4 TD / 28.2 YPG
    Alec Pierce WR 41 REC / 593 YDS / 2 TD / 37.1 YPG
    Deon Jackson RB 236 YDS / 1 TD / 14.8 YPG / 3.5 YPC
    30 REC / 209 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 13.1 REC YPG
    Zaire Franklin LB 166 TKL / 12.00 TFL / 3.00 SACK
    DeForest Buckner DT 74 TKL / 11.00 TFL / 8.00 SACK
    Grover Stewart DT 70 TKL / 9.00 TFL / 4.00 SACK
    Kwity Paye DE 45 TKL / 10.00 TFL / 6.00 SACK

    Houston

    Name Position Stats
    Davis Mills QB 3,118 YDS (61.0%) / 17 TD / 15 INT
    108 RUSH YDS / 2 RUSH TD / 7.2 RUSH YPG
    Devin Singletary RB 819 YDS / 5 TD / 51.2 YPG / 4.6 YPC
    38 REC / 280 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 17.5 REC YPG
    Dameon Pierce RB 939 YDS / 4 TD / 72.2 YPG / 4.3 YPC
    30 REC / 165 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 12.7 REC YPG
    Dalton Schultz TE 57 REC / 577 YDS / 5 TD / 38.5 YPG
    Denzel Perryman LB 83 TKL / 13.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK / 2 INT
    Christian Harris LB 74 TKL / 6.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK / 1 INT
    Jerry Hughes DE 35 TKL / 10.00 TFL / 9.00 SACK / 1 INT
    Steven Nelson CB 52 TKL / 1.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK / 1 INT

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    Colts’ Offense vs. Texans’ Defense (2022)

    Colts Offense Stats (Rank) Texans Defense
    17.0 (30) Points/Gm 24.7 (27)
    0.3 (17) Points/Play 0.4 (19)
    311.6 (27) Yards/Gm 379.5 (30)
    201.9 (23) Pass Yards/Gm 209.3 (10)
    109.8 (23) Rush Yards/Gm 170.2 (32)
    4.8 (29) Yards/Play 5.7 (25)
    5.7 (31) Yards/Pass 6.8 (23)
    4.3 (18) Yards/Rush 5.1 (29)
    32.9% (29) 3rd Down % 38.9% (15)
    45.8% (29) Red Zone % 56.4% (19)
    34 (32) Turnovers 27 (4)
    60 (31) Sacks 39 (18)

    Texans’ Offense vs. Colts’ Defense (2022)

    Texans Offense Stats (Rank) Colts Defense
    17.0 (30) Points/Gm 25.1 (28)
    0.3 (17) Points/Play 0.4 (19)
    283.5 (31) Yards/Gm 334.0 (15)
    196.7 (25) Pass Yards/Gm 209.9 (11)
    86.8 (31) Rush Yards/Gm 124.1 (21)
    4.7 (32) Yards/Play 5.2 (11)
    5.8 (30) Yards/Pass 6.6 (15)
    3.7 (31) Yards/Rush 4.1 (4)
    30.3% (31) 3rd Down % 37.9% (10)
    47.9% (27) Red Zone % 67.9% (32)
    28 (31) Turnovers 21 (19)
    38 (13) Sacks 44 (10)

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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