Lions vs. Falcons Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, September 24, 2023

Sportsbooks give the Detroit Lions (1-1) the advantage on Sunday, September 24, 2023 against the Atlanta Falcons (2-0). Detroit is favored by 3 points.

Lions vs. Falcons Game Info

  • When: Sunday, September 24, 2023 at 1:00 PM ET
  • Where: Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan
  • TV Info: FOX
  • Spread Favorite: Lions (-3)
  • Moneyline: Lions (-166), Falcons (+140)
  • Total: 47.5 points
  • Lions Betting Insights

  • Detroit put together a 12-4-1 record against the spread last season.
  • The Lions were favored by 3 points or more two times last season, and covered the spread in one of those contests.
  • A total of 10 Detroit games last season went over the point total.
  • The Lions won three of the five games they were the moneyline favorite last season (60%).
  • Detroit had a 7-1-1 record against the spread at home last year and was 5-4 in home contests.
  • Detroit’s average point total in matchups last year was 49.1, 1.6 points higher than the total in this game.
  • Falcons Betting Insights

  • Atlanta covered nine times in 17 chances against the spread last year.
  • The Falcons were an underdog by 3 points or more eight times last season, and covered the spread in five of those contests.
  • Atlanta and its opponent combined to hit the over seven out of 17 times last year.
  • The Falcons were underdogs in 12 games last season and won three (25%) of those contests.
  • Atlanta was 4-4 against the spread, and 1-7 overall, on the road last season.
  • Games involving Atlanta last year averaged 43.9 points per game, a 3.6-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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    Detroit vs. Atlanta: Recent Matchups

    Lions vs Falcons: Last Five Meetings
    Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
    12/26/2021 Falcons Falcons -7.5 43 -365 +280 338-254 20-16 ATL
    10/25/2020 Falcons Falcons -1 55 -114 +100 388-386 23-22 DET

    Key Players for Lions vs. Falcons (2022 Stats)

    Detroit

    Name Position Stats
    Jared Goff QB 4,438 YDS (65.1%) / 29 TD / 7 INT
    Amon-Ra St. Brown WR 106 REC / 1,161 YDS / 6 TD / 72.6 YPG
    David Montgomery RB 801 YDS / 5 TD / 50.1 YPG / 4.0 YPC
    34 REC / 316 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 19.8 REC YPG
    Marvin Jones Jr. WR 46 REC / 529 YDS / 3 TD / 33.1 YPG
    Alex Anzalone LB 125 TKL / 7.00 TFL / 1.50 SACK / 1 INT
    Aidan Hutchinson DL 52 TKL / 9.00 TFL / 9.50 SACK / 3 INT
    Malcolm Rodriguez LB 84 TKL / 8.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK
    Cameron Sutton CB 43 TKL / 1.00 TFL / 3 INT / 15 PD

    Atlanta

    Name Position Stats
    Tyler Allgeier RB 1,035 YDS / 3 TD / 64.7 YPG / 4.9 YPC
    16 REC / 139 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 8.7 REC YPG
    Cordarrelle Patterson RB 695 YDS / 8 TD / 53.5 YPG / 4.8 YPC
    Taylor Heinicke QB 1,859 YDS (62.2%) / 12 TD / 6 INT
    96 RUSH YDS / 1 RUSH TD / 10.7 RUSH YPG
    Drake London WR 72 REC / 866 YDS / 4 TD / 50.9 YPG
    Richie Grant S 122 TKL / 3.00 TFL / 2 INT / 7 PD
    Kaden Elliss LB 74 TKL / 7.00 TFL / 7.00 SACK
    Grady Jarrett DL 61 TKL / 12.00 TFL / 6.00 SACK
    Jeff Okudah CB 73 TKL / 2.00 TFL / 1 INT / 7 PD

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    Lions’ Offense vs. Falcons’ Defense (2022)

    Lions Offense Stats (Rank) Falcons Defense
    26.6 (5) Points/Gm 22.7 (23)
    0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.4 (19)
    380.0 (4) Yards/Gm 362.1 (27)
    251.8 (8) Pass Yards/Gm 231.9 (25)
    128.2 (11) Rush Yards/Gm 130.2 (23)
    5.9 (4) Yards/Play 5.7 (25)
    7.3 (5) Yards/Pass 7.0 (25)
    4.5 (15) Yards/Rush 4.4 (15)
    40.8% (14) 3rd Down % 45.9% (31)
    66.2% (4) Red Zone % 55.0% (14)
    15 (1) Turnovers 17 (27)
    24 (2) Sacks 21 (31)

    Falcons’ Offense vs. Lions’ Defense (2022)

    Falcons Offense Stats (Rank) Lions Defense
    21.5 (15) Points/Gm 25.1 (28)
    0.4 (2) Points/Play 0.4 (19)
    318.6 (24) Yards/Gm 392.4 (32)
    158.8 (31) Pass Yards/Gm 245.8 (30)
    159.9 (3) Rush Yards/Gm 146.5 (29)
    5.4 (15) Yards/Play 6.2 (32)
    6.5 (15) Yards/Pass 7.5 (31)
    4.9 (4) Yards/Rush 5.2 (30)
    41.8% (10) 3rd Down % 45.1% (30)
    55.6% (14) Red Zone % 63.8% (27)
    21 (8) Turnovers 22 (17)
    37 (12) Sacks 39 (18)

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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