Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Sunday, October 29, 2023

The Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) are considered touchdown favorites as they attempt to prolong their six-game winning streak in a matchup with the Denver Broncos (2-5) on Sunday, October 29, 2023 at Empower Field at Mile High.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Game Info

  • When: Sunday, October 29, 2023 at 4:25 PM ET
  • Where: Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colorado
  • TV Info: CBS
  • Spread Favorite: Chiefs (-7)
  • Moneyline: Chiefs (-340), Broncos (+270)
  • Total: 45.5 points
  • Chiefs Betting Insights

  • Kansas City has covered the spread five times in seven games with a set spread.
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread twice when favored by 7 points or more this season (in three opportunities).
  • Games involving the Chiefs have hit the over twice this season.
  • The Chiefs have been moneyline favorites seven times this year. They’ve gone 6-1.
  • Kansas City is 3-0 overall with two wins against the spread on the road.
  • The Kansas City and its opponent have scored an average of 48.7 points per game in 2023, 3.2 more than Sunday’s total.
  • Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver is winless against the spread this season (0-5-2).
  • The Broncos have been an underdog by 7 points or more this season once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • This year, Denver games have hit the over four times.
  • The Broncos have lost both games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Denver is winless against the spread at home so far while putting up a record of 1-3 at Empower Field at Mile High.
  • Games involving Denver this year have averaged 44.3 points per game, a 1.2-point differential when compared to the over/under for this contest.
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    Kansas City vs. Denver: Recent Matchups

    Chiefs vs Broncos: Last Five Meetings
    Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
    10/12/2023 Chiefs Chiefs -10.5 47.5 -650 +470 389-197 19-8 KC
    1/1/2023 Chiefs Chiefs -12.5 46 -740 +540 374-307 27-24 KC
    12/11/2022 Chiefs Broncos -9 44 -435 +350 431-320 34-28 KC
    1/8/2022 Chiefs Broncos -11.5 44.5 -590 +425 390-364 28-24 KC
    12/5/2021 Chiefs Chiefs -8.5 46.5 -410 +310 404-267 22-9 KC

    Key Players for Chiefs vs. Broncos

    Kansas City

    Name Position Stats
    Patrick Mahomes II QB 2,017 YDS (69.5%) / 15 TD / 6 INT
    214 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 30.6 RUSH YPG
    Isiah Pacheco RB 419 YDS / 3 TD / 59.9 YPG / 4.2 YPC
    21 REC / 163 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 23.3 REC YPG
    Travis Kelce TE 48 REC / 525 YDS / 4 TD / 87.5 YPG
    Rashee Rice WR 26 REC / 305 YDS / 3 TD / 43.6 YPG
    L’Jarius Sneed CB 36 TKL / 3.00 TFL / 1 INT / 5 PD
    Trent McDuffie CB 35 TKL / 0.00 TFL
    Justin Reid S 33 TKL / 1.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK / 1 INT
    Drue Tranquill LB 36 TKL / 2.00 TFL / 2.50 SACK

    Denver

    Name Position Stats
    Russell Wilson QB 1,499 YDS (66.4%) / 13 TD / 4 INT
    171 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 24.4 RUSH YPG
    Courtland Sutton WR 31 REC / 351 YDS / 5 TD / 50.1 YPG
    Jaleel McLaughlin RB 235 YDS / 1 TD / 33.6 YPG / 6.9 YPC
    10 REC / 59 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 8.4 REC YPG
    Javonte Williams RB 272 YDS / 0 TD / 45.3 YPG / 4.3 YPC
    14 REC / 65 REC YDS / 0 REC TD / 10.8 REC YPG
    Jonathon Cooper OLB 36 TKL / 3.00 TFL / 4.00 SACK
    Alex Singleton ILB 64 TKL / 2.00 TFL
    Nik Bonitto OLB 20 TKL / 9.00 TFL / 5.50 SACK
    Zach Allen DE 31 TKL / 5.00 TFL / 2.50 SACK

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    Chiefs’ Offense vs. Broncos’ Defense

    Chiefs Offense Stats (Rank) Broncos Defense
    25.4 (6) Points/Gm 31.0 (31)
    0.4 (3) Points/Play 0.5 (31)
    396.7 (2) Yards/Gm 424.7 (32)
    285.4 (2) Pass Yards/Gm 257.4 (30)
    111.3 (18) Rush Yards/Gm 167.3 (32)
    6.0 (2) Yards/Play 6.5 (32)
    7.3 (5) Yards/Pass 7.9 (31)
    4.2 (13) Yards/Rush 5.5 (32)
    48.9% (2) 3rd Down % 39.5% (17)
    57.1% (14) Red Zone % 55.2% (20)
    11 (21) Turnovers 7 (22)
    7 (1) Sacks 14 (22)

    Broncos’ Offense vs. Chiefs’ Defense

    Broncos Offense Stats (Rank) Chiefs Defense
    21.1 (19) Points/Gm 15.0 (2)
    0.4 (3) Points/Play 0.3 (3)
    311.0 (21) Yards/Gm 294.6 (7)
    199.4 (22) Pass Yards/Gm 188.9 (6)
    111.6 (17) Rush Yards/Gm 105.7 (16)
    5.6 (7) Yards/Play 4.9 (7)
    6.5 (15) Yards/Pass 5.6 (2)
    5.1 (4) Yards/Rush 4.6 (26)
    39.7% (16) 3rd Down % 37.1% (12)
    52.2% (18) Red Zone % 50.0% (11)
    11 (21) Turnovers 11 (9)
    20 (24) Sacks 22 (7)

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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