Bills vs. Broncos Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets – Monday, November 13, 2023

The Denver Broncos (3-5) are listed as 7.5-point underdogs on Monday, November 13, 2023 against the Buffalo Bills (5-4).

Bills vs. Broncos Game Info

  • When: Monday, November 13, 2023 at 8:15 PM ET
  • Where: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
  • TV Info: ABC
  • Spread Favorite: Bills (-7.5)
  • Moneyline: Bills (-375), Broncos (+295)
  • Total: 47.5 points
  • Bills Betting Insights

  • Buffalo has covered the spread three times in nine games with a set spread.
  • The Bills have covered the spread once when favored by 7.5 points or more this season (in four opportunities).
  • Buffalo games have gone over the total three times this season.
  • The Bills have won 62.5% of their games as moneyline favorites (5-3).
  • Buffalo is 4-1 in home contests and has covered the spread in two games.
  • The average total in Buffalo games this season is 46.2, 1.3 points fewer than Monday’s over/under of 47.5.
  • Broncos Betting Insights

  • Denver has covered the spread one time over eight games with a set spread.
  • The Broncos have been an underdog by 7.5 points or more this year once, and failed to cover the spread.
  • This season, four Denver games have gone over the point total.
  • The Broncos have won one of the three games they’ve played as underdogs this season.
  • Denver is winless against the spread, and 1-2 overall, away from home.
  • The over/under for this game is 3.1 points higher than the average scoring total for Denver’s games (postseason included) of 44.4.
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    Buffalo vs. Denver: Recent Matchups

    Bills vs Broncos: Last Five Meetings
    Date Favorite Home Team Spread Total Favorite Moneyline Underdog Moneyline Total Yards Result
    12/19/2020 Bills Broncos -6 48.5 -245 +210 534-255 48-19 BUF
    11/24/2019 N/A Bills N/A N/A N/A N/A 424-134 20-3 BUF

    Key Players for Bills vs. Broncos

    Buffalo

    Name Position Stats
    Josh Allen QB 2,423 YDS (71.3%) / 18 TD / 9 INT
    233 RUSH YDS / 6 RUSH TD / 25.9 RUSH YPG
    Stefon Diggs WR 70 REC / 834 YDS / 7 TD / 92.7 YPG
    James Cook RB 506 YDS / 1 TD / 56.2 YPG / 4.7 YPC
    22 REC / 211 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 23.4 REC YPG
    Gabriel Davis WR 31 REC / 434 YDS / 5 TD / 48.2 YPG
    Terrel Bernard LB 80 TKL / 6.00 TFL / 2.00 SACK / 2 INT
    Ed Oliver DT 28 TKL / 10.00 TFL / 5.00 SACK
    A.J. Epenesa DE 14 TKL / 5.00 TFL / 5.00 SACK / 1 INT
    Taron Johnson CB 46 TKL / 2.00 TFL / 1.00 SACK

    Denver

    Name Position Stats
    Russell Wilson QB 1,613 YDS (66.1%) / 16 TD / 4 INT
    201 RUSH YDS / 0 RUSH TD / 25.1 RUSH YPG
    Courtland Sutton WR 33 REC / 380 YDS / 6 TD / 47.5 YPG
    Javonte Williams RB 357 YDS / 0 TD / 51.0 YPG / 4.0 YPC
    17 REC / 78 REC YDS / 1 REC TD / 11.1 REC YPG
    Jaleel McLaughlin RB 268 YDS / 1 TD / 33.5 YPG / 7.1 YPC
    12 REC / 65 REC YDS / 2 REC TD / 8.1 REC YPG
    Jonathon Cooper OLB 39 TKL / 3.00 TFL / 4.50 SACK
    Alex Singleton ILB 71 TKL / 3.00 TFL
    Nik Bonitto OLB 21 TKL / 9.00 TFL / 5.50 SACK
    Zach Allen DE 35 TKL / 6.00 TFL / 3.00 SACK

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    Bills’ Offense vs. Broncos’ Defense

    Bills Offense Stats (Rank) Broncos Defense
    26.7 (7) Points/Gm 28.3 (32)
    0.4 (3) Points/Play 0.4 (18)
    370.2 (7) Yards/Gm 405.9 (32)
    262.1 (6) Pass Yards/Gm 251.8 (27)
    108.1 (14) Rush Yards/Gm 154.1 (32)
    5.9 (3) Yards/Play 6.3 (32)
    7.3 (6) Yards/Pass 7.6 (32)
    4.3 (10) Yards/Rush 5.4 (32)
    50.0% (1) 3rd Down % 38.5% (16)
    68.6% (3) Red Zone % 50.0% (11)
    14 (20) Turnovers 12 (18)
    13 (2) Sacks 17 (29)

    Broncos’ Offense vs. Bills’ Defense

    Broncos Offense Stats (Rank) Bills Defense
    21.5 (17) Points/Gm 17.8 (4)
    0.4 (3) Points/Play 0.3 (2)
    302.1 (23) Yards/Gm 334.0 (17)
    185.4 (25) Pass Yards/Gm 219.6 (14)
    116.8 (12) Rush Yards/Gm 114.4 (19)
    5.3 (13) Yards/Play 5.6 (26)
    6.4 (16) Yards/Pass 6.6 (18)
    4.8 (2) Yards/Rush 4.9 (30)
    40.2% (14) 3rd Down % 41.7% (23)
    53.6% (16) Red Zone % 44.8% (6)
    12 (13) Turnovers 14 (12)
    26 (23) Sacks 29 (8)

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    written by

    Luis Escalante is a seasoned expert in NBA betting and Director of Strategy at Betsperts Group. With over a decade of experience in sports analytics and a strong background in NFL, fantasy football, daily fantasy sports, and betting, Luis has become a well-respected and trusted authority in the industry. His extensive knowledge of data analysis and sports betting strategies has helped countless individuals make informed decisions and gain an edge in the competitive world of betting. Luis has been a regular contributor to 4for4 since 2014, Luis is committed to providing the highest quality insights and advice.

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