Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction: Picks, Live Odds & Moneyline – Saturday, October 21, 2023

Oct 20, 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs play at the Tampa Bay Lightning on October 21 at 7:00 PM ET, and are -142 favorites, with the home team at +120.

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Favorite: Maple Leafs (-142)

Underdog: Lightning (+120)

Total: 7

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How to Watch Maple Leafs vs. Lightning

Game Day: Saturday, October 21, 2023

Game Time: 7:00 PM ET

TV Channel: NHL Network and BSSUN

Location: Tampa, Florida

Arena: Amalie Arena

Maple Leafs 2022-23 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average	Rank
Goals Scored	3.39	9th
Goals Allowed	2.68	7th
Shots	32	12th
Shots Allowed	29.5	7th
Power Play %	26.02%	2nd
Penalty Kill %	81.85%	12th

Toronto Betting Info

The Maple Leafs compiled a 42-32 record when favored on the moneyline last season.

Toronto was 32-23 when it played as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter.

The implied moneyline probability for this matchup gives the Maple Leafs a 58.7% chance to win.

Toronto’s games last season went over this matchup’s total of 7 goals 43 times.

Maple Leafs Player Props

Name	Points Prop (Over Payout)	Shots Prop (Over Payout)
Auston Matthews	1.50 (+114)	4.50 (-115)
Mitchell Marner	1.50 (+120)	2.50 (-110)
Morgan Rielly	0.50 (+100)	1.50 (-180)

Lightning 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average	Rank
Goals Scored	3.4	12th
Goals Allowed	4	25th
Shots	28.4	23rd
Shots Allowed	34.2	25th
Power Play %	31.25%	5th
Penalty Kill %	90.91%	10th

Lightning Betting Info

The Lightning have been an underdog twice so far this season, and went 0-2 in those games.

Toronto has played as a moneyline favorite of -142 or shorter in just two games this season, and split them 1-1.

Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs have an implied win probability of 58.7%.

Tampa Bay has played three games this season that ended with more than 7 goals.

Lightning Player Props

Name	Points Prop (Over Payout)	Shots Prop (Over Payout)
Nikita Kucherov	1.50 (+100)	3.50 (-105)
Steven Stamkos	0.50 (-230)	2.50 (-166)
Brandon Hagel	0.50 (-130)	2.50 (+124)

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Injury Report

Maple Leafs:

Matt Murray: Hip (Out),

Conor Timmins: Lower Body (Out)

Lightning:

Andrei Vasilevskiy: Back (Out),

Tyler Motte: Upper Body (Out)

Maple Leafs vs. Lightning Prediction and Pick

We anticipate the Lightning (+120 on the moneyline) to topple the Maple Leafs (-142 on the moneyline). As for the total, we recommend betting on the over at 7 goals.

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