Maple Leafs vs. Wild Prediction: Live Odds, Stats, History & Picks – Sunday, November 19, 2023

Brian Twining

Nov 18, 2023

The sportsbooks really fancy the Toronto Maple Leafs to beat the Minnesota Wild in their meeting on Sunday, November 19, with the visiting Maple Leafs given moneyline odds of -166, and the Wild at +140.

Maple Leafs vs. Wild Favorite, Moneyline, Total

Favorite: Maple Leafs (-166)

Underdog: Wild (+140)

Total: 6.5

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How to Watch Maple Leafs vs. Wild

Game Day: Sunday, November 19, 2023

Game Time: 8:00 AM ET

TV Channel: NHL Network, BSN, and BSWIX

Location: ,

Arena: Avicii Arena

Maple Leafs 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average	Rank
Goals Scored	3.5	9th
Goals Allowed	3.44	23rd
Shots	32	11th
Shots Allowed	30.8	20th
Power Play %	28.57%	6th
Penalty Kill %	74.07%	25th

Toronto Betting Info

The Maple Leafs have been favored on the moneyline 13 times this season, and have gone 7-6 in those games.

When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -166 or shorter, Toronto has a record of 3-3 (winning 50.0%).

Based on this game’s moneyline, the Maple Leafs’ implied win probability is 62.4%.

Toronto’s 15 matches this season have finished above this game’s total of 6.5 goals seven times.

Maple Leafs Player Props

Name	Points Prop (Over Payout)	Shots Prop (Over Payout)
Auston Matthews	1.50 (+165)	4.50 (+120)
Mitchell Marner	1.50 (+154)	2.50 (-105)
William Nylander	1.50 (+154)	3.50 (-166)

Wild 2023-24 Stats & Rankings

Stat	Average	Rank
Goals Scored	3.13	18th
Goals Allowed	4	31st
Shots	30.6	18th
Shots Allowed	32.3	22nd
Power Play %	16.39%	22nd
Penalty Kill %	66.07%	32nd

Wild Betting Info

The Wild have won one of the nine games they have played while the underdog this season.

Toronto is 3-3 (winning 50.0% of its games) when playing as a moneyline favorite of -166 or shorter.

The Maple Leafs have an implied moneyline win probability of 62.4% in this matchup.

Minnesota has played 10 games this season that ended with more than 6.5 goals.

Wild Player Props

Name	Points Prop (Over Payout)	Shots Prop (Over Payout)
Mats Zuccarello	0.50 (-180)	2.50 (+105)
Matthew Boldy	0.50 (-145)	3.50 (+130)
Kirill Kaprizov	0.50 (-215)	3.50 (+105)

Maple Leafs vs. Wild Injury Report

Maple Leafs:

Matt Murray: Hip (Out),

Conor Timmins: Lower Body (Out),

Timothy Liljegren: Lower Body (Out),

Jake Muzzin: Back (Out For Season),

John Klingberg: Undisclosed (Questionable)

Wild:

Alex Goligoski: Lower Body (Out),

Sam Hentges: Undisclosed (Out),

Caedan Bankier: Undisclosed (Out),

Michael Milne: Undisclosed (Out),

Frederick Gaudreau: Undisclosed (Out),

Ryan Hartman: Illness (Questionable)

Maple Leafs vs. Wild Prediction and Pick

We expect the Wild (+140 on the moneyline) to topple the Maple Leafs (-166 on the moneyline). Moving to the total, we prefer the over at 6.5 goals.

written by

Brian Twining

Just a regular guy who absolutely loves sports. I've been playing, watching, and recreationally betting on sports for over 30 years. My favorite sports to attack at the sportsbook are Football (NFL/NCAAF), College Basketball, and most recently - the NASCAR Cup Series. I'm not an "expert" and I don't have or use betting models, but I do put in the research and apply that to my wagers which are mostly backed by the trending data with of course a little, as Gibbs from the show NCIS would say "Gut Feeling" contributing to the side chosen. Sports betting should be fun and enjoyable so always play within your means and NEVER chase your losses. You can follow me on Twitter @Brian_Twining - Let's try and win some bets!

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