If you’re looking to jump into Bears vs. Buccaneers props betting on Thursday night, you’re in the right place. In a highly anticipated matchup between two 3-1 teams, Tampa Bay travels to Chicago to kickoff Week 5 in primetime. Nick Foles and Tom Brady will reprise their classic Super Bowl 52 showdown in which Foles bested the future Hall of Fame quarterback on the big stage.
There figures to be heavy betting action for this game, so let’s jump right into some of our favorite Bears vs. Buccaneers prop picks and best bets.
Bears vs. Bucs Player Props
There are plenty of intriguing prop markets on the board for Bears vs. Bucs, but we’ve sorted through the numerous options in search of the ones that pop. Here are some of our favorite plays this week.
Tom Brady to Score a Touchdown (+650)
This play has the longest odds of our Bears vs. Bucs prop picks.
Since scoring a pair of rushing touchdowns against the Giants on Oct. 10 of last season, Brady has only scored once over his last 14 games — back in Week 1 against New Orleans.
You know what other game he didn’t score? Super Bowl 52 — the game in which the opposing quarterback, Nick Foles, caught the famed “Philly Special” that helped propel the Eagles to a Super Bowl victory. If there were ever a week for Brady to get into the end zone, it would be this one. If the Bucs get down inside the 2-yard line, I would be absolutely stunned if Brady doesn’t call his number at least once.
He’s petty like that.
David Montgomery Over 47.5 Rushing Yards (-122)
While David Montgomery has had a somewhat quiet start to the 2020 season, he’s been solid out of the backfield for the Bears. After eclipsing the 47.5 yards mark in his first two games of the season, Montgomery was held to just 45 and 27 yards efforts over the last two weeks . Still, he has gone over this number in six of his last nine games dating back to last season and has never gone three consecutive games without rushing for at least 50 yards.
The Bucs possess an elite run defense that has held opposing teams to under three yards per attempt and has allowed only one runner to eclipse the 50-yard mark this season, but I like the setup this week.
Matt Nagy was pass-happy in the loss to the Colts, as Nick Foles attempted 42 passes while Montgomery had only 10 carries. That split produced a whopping 11 points, eight of which were scored with 1:35 left in the fourth quarter.
Nagy is smart enough to know he has to create more balance. Whatever you think of Foles, 42 pass attempts is probably not the ideal game plan for him, so I expect 15+ carries for Montgomery in this one, which should be enough to push him over the total.
You can grab this prop and a $1,000 risk free bet at FanDuel Sportsbook by clicking right here.
David Montgomery 40+ Yards and Anthony Miller 33+ Receiving Yards (+170)
Check our rationale on Montgomery above. As for Miller, he’s seen a decline in snaps recently, but he’s still averaging five targets per contest and has eclipsed 33 yards in two of four games this season. Miller has two catches of at least 27 yards, and Foles has shown a willingness to take shots down the field. At +170 odds, this one is worth a play.
Bears vs. Bucs Game Props
Bears +0.5 to Cover the First Quarter (-134)
The Bucs are 3-1 ATS in the first quarter this season, outscoring opponents by a 38-14 margin. The Bears are 2-2 ATS in opening quarter (16 points scored, 16 points allowed), but after a slow offensive start against the Colts a week ago, I expect Nagy to get Foles into a rhythm and for Chicago to have better tempo early on. Frankly, I think the wrong team is favored in this game, so the opportunity to grab the Bears +0.5 feels like a value spot.
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Bears vs. Bucs Best Bet
Be sure to check out our full Bears vs. Bucs betting preview.
After rolling with the Colts to cover in Week 4, we’re back on the Bears this week. Some things to consider:
- When two teams with better than a .700 winning percentage square off in October or later, road favorites are just 22-39 ATS. They are also just 4-9 ATS in primetime games.
- Road favorites are just 6-11-1 ATS in Thursday night games since the start of the 2017 season.
The Bears will be playing with a pair of backup safeties, but the Bucs will be without Chris Godwin, while Mike Evans and Scotty Miller are both questionable. Tom Brady is coming off of a five-touchdown pass performance, but the expectation here is that we will see yet another spirited effort from the defense in a bounce back game for the Bears.
Offensively, maybe the Bears don’t light up the scoreboard against a stout Tampa Bay defense, but Nagy should have Foles in better position to produce a more effective and efficient offensive output this time around.
Give us the Bears +3.5 to cover against the Bears.
And be sure to get the Bears +86 to cover with PointsBet by clicking here.