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What to know about Super Bowl LVII

Super Bowl LVII: Chiefs vs Eagles Prediction – Odds, Picks, and Preview

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The Super Bowl is set to feature two of the league’s top offenses, with the Chiefs, ranked first in both total points and yards, and the Eagles ranked third.

Both teams had impressive runs through the playoffs, with the Chiefs defeating Cincinnati in the AFC Championship Game and the Jacksonville Jaguars in the Divisional Round.

While the Eagles easily took down the San Francisco 49ers and the New York Giants in the NFC Championship Game and the Divisional Round, respectively.

We review the latest odds, analysis, stats picks, and predictions for Sunday’s game. If you want a full free Super Bowl 57 In-Depth Breakdown, check out our free expert betting preview over at 4for4.

Chiefs vs. Eagles Odds

Point Spread

The spread for this matchup is set at 1.5 points, with bookmakers listing the Eagles as the favorites.

Moneyline

As for the money line, the Eagles have -125 odds to pick up the win. The Chiefs are listed at +105 to claim victory.

Over/Under

The total for the game is set at 51 points.

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How to make Chiefs vs. Eagles picks

With two fantastic quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes and Jalen Hurts, taking the field, fans can expect an exciting display of skill at the offensive positions. The likes of Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce and Eagles wide receiver A.J. Brown are sure to be major contributors.Β 

Both teams boast defenses filled with game-changers who can effectively get to the quarterback. Given that the Chiefs topped the regular season scoring charts as No. 1 and the Eagles ranked third, we can anticipate a high-scoring affair.

Philadelphia Eagles Stats

The Philadelphia Eagles have been performing exceptionally well this year, both on offense and defense. They rank 3rd in total offense with 389.1 yards per game and 2nd in total defense, allowing 301.4 yards per game.

The defense has given up the fewest passing yards in the league, averaging 179.6 yards per game. The Eagles rank 9th in passing yards on offense with 241.5 yards per game and 5th in rushing yards with 147.6 yards per game.

They have a 17th-ranked run defense, allowing 121.7 yards per game, and a 4th-best 45.9% third-down conversion rate on offense.

The Eagles rank 4th in yards per play on offense with 5.9 yards and 1st on defense with 4.8 yards allowed per play. They have a +8 turnover margin, ranking 3rd in the league with 27 forced turnovers (4th in NFL) and 19 committed (5th in NFL).

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Kansas City Chiefs Stats

The Kansas City Chiefs have a strong performance in the NFL this season, with their defense ranking 11th for total yards allowed per game (328.2) and their offense ranking first by averaging 413.6 total yards per game.

The Chiefs allow 21.7 points per game (16th in the NFL), while their offense leads the league with 29.2 points per game.

The Chiefs’ pass defense allows 220.9 yards per game (18th in the NFL), but their offense leads the NFL with 297.8 passing yards per game.

On the ground, the Chiefs average 115.9 rushing yards per game (20th in the NFL) on offense, and rank eighth on defense, giving up only 107.2 rushing yards per game.

Their third-down defense allows a 38.3% conversion rate (13th in the NFL), but their offense shines with a 48.7% third-down conversion rate, ranking second-best in the NFL.

The Chiefs’ offense leads the NFL with 6.4 yards per play, while their defense ranks seventh, surrendering 5.1 yards per play.

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Chiefs vs. Eagles key injuries

Chiefs

  • L’Jarius Sneed, CB (Cornerback) a knee injury.
  • Trey Smith, G (Guard) an ankle injury.
  • Jerick McKinnon, RB (Running Back) ankle injuries.
  • Isiah Pacheco, RB (Running Back) a wrist injury.
  • Kadarius Toney, WR (Wide Receiver) both an ankle and hamstring injury.
  • JuJu Smith-Schuster, WR (Wide Receiver) a knee injury.
  • Patrick Mahomes, QB (Quarterback) an ankle injury.
  • Willie Gay, LB (Linebacker) a shoulder injury.

Chiefs

  • Cam Jurgens, C (Center) both a hip and resting.
  • Jason Kelce, C (Center) resting.
  • Landon Dickerson, G (Guard) both an elbow and resting.
  • Isaac Seumalo, G (Guard) resting.
  • Lane Johnson, OT (Offensive Tackle) both a groin and resting.
  • A.J. Brown, WR (Wide Receiver) resting.
  • Britain Covey, WR (Wide Receiver) a hamstring injury.
  • Fletcher Cox, DE (Defensive End) resting.
  • Brandon Graham, DE (Defensive End) resting.
  • Josh Sweat, DE (Defensive End) resting.
  • Avonte Maddox ,CB (Cornerback) both a toe and resting.
  • James Bradberry ,CB (Cornerback) resting.
  • Darius Slay, CB (Cornerback) resting.
  • Robert Quinn, DE (Defensive End) a foot injury.

Super Bowl picks and predictions for Eagles vs. Chiefs

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Stats on Predicting an Eagles win

The Eagles finished the regular season with a record of 8 wins and 9 losses against the spread (8-9-0). In the postseason, they are 2-0-0 against the spread. In games where they were favored by 1.5 points or more, the Eagles had a record of 10 wins and 8 losses in the regular season and playoffs combined (10-8).

During the regular season, 10 out of the 17 games played by the Eagles went over the point total. So far in the postseason, they have yet to exceed the over in either of their two games. The Eagles were the money line favorite in 14 of their regular season games and won 87.5% of those contests (14-2). In the postseason, they have continued their success as money line favorites with a 2-0 record.

When playing as a moneyline favorite of -125 or shorter in the regular season and playoffs combined, the Eagles have a record of 16 wins and 2 losses (winning 88.9% of their games).

Stats on Predicting a Chiefs win

The Kansas City Chiefs had a 6-10-1 record against the spread during the regular season and are currently 1-1 in the playoffs. When they were listed as underdogs of 1.5 points or more, they have won one game against the spread (1-1) in both the regular season and playoffs.

Out of their 17 regular season games, 8 hit the over while 0 out of their 2 playoff games did. The Chiefs split their 2 games as underdogs in the regular season and are yet to play as underdogs in the playoffs.

In total, the Chiefs have only been listed as underdogs of +105 or more once, including both the regular season and playoffs, and unfortunately lost that game.

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Eagles Player Prop Betting Stats

Jalen Hurts 

This season, quarterback Jalen Hurts has impressed, ranking 10th in the NFL with 3,701 passing yards through 15 games. He averages 246.7 yards per game with a completion percentage of 66.5% and has thrown 22 touchdowns to only 6 interceptions. Hurts has also been a valuable asset on the ground, rushing for 760 yards (second on the Eagles) and adding 13 touchdowns, with an average of 50.7 yards per game.

A.J. Brown

Wide receiver A.J. Brown has had an outstanding season as well, catching 88 passes for 1,496 total yards (fourth in the NFL) and 11 touchdowns. He averages 5.2 catches and 88.0 yards per game in 17 games. Running back Miles Sanders has been equally impressive, with 1,269 rushing yards (fifth in the NFL) and 11 touchdowns (74.6 yards per game through 17 games).

DeVonta Smith

Receiver DeVonta Smith has also made a significant impact, accumulating 1,196 receiving yards (ninth in the NFL) and 7 touchdowns from 95 catches on 136 targets, averaging 5.6 receptions and 70.4 yards per game.

T.J. Edwards

On defense, linebacker T.J. Edwards leads the Eagles with 159 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 2.0 sacks in 2022, ranking sixth in the NFL. Linebacker Haason Reddick has 48 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and an impressive 16.0 sacks this season.

Josh Sweat

Defensive end Josh Sweat has also been noteworthy with 47 tackles, 14.0 TFL, 11.0 sacks, and one interception this year. Defensive tackle Javon Hargrave has contributed 60 tackles, 10.0 TFL, and 11.0 sacks to the team’s success this season.

Chiefs Player Prop Betting Stats

The 2022 NFL season has seen several outstanding performances from the players of the Kansas City Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes

Patrick Mahomes II has had a phenomenal year, leading the league with 5,250 passing yards and 41 touchdowns, despite throwing 12 interceptions and completing 67.1% of his passes. On top of his impressive passing stats, he’s also rushed for four touchdowns and 358 yards, which is second on the team.

Travis Kelce

Travis Kelce has been another key player for the Chiefs this season. In 17 games played, he has recorded 110 catches (third in the NFL) for 1,338 yards (eighth in the NFL) and 12 receiving touchdowns (second in the NFL). With 152 targets, Kelce has been averaging 6.5 receptions per game.

Jerick McKinnon

Jerick McKinnon has been making contributions on both the ground and in the air. He’s averaging 17.1 rushing yards per game for a total of 291 yards and one rushing touchdown. Additionally, McKinnon has 56 receptions (3.3 per game) for 512 yards (30.1 per game) and nine receiving touchdowns from 71 targets.

Isiah Pacheco

Isiah Pacheco has had a standout year on the ground, leading the Chiefs with 830 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns. He’s averaging 48.8 yards per game and has an impressive 4.9 carry average, which is 11th in the NFL.

Nick Bolton

On the defensive side of the ball, Nick Bolton has been making his presence felt with 179 tackles, 8.0 TFL, 2.0 sacks, and two interceptions in 17 games played. L’Jarius Sneed, with 107 tackles, 4.0 TFL, 3.5 sacks, and three interceptions, is second on the team in tackles. Chris Jones has been a dominant force on the defensive line, leading the team with 15.5 sacks, 16.0 TFL, and 44 tackles. Willie Gay Jr. has also been making his mark with 2.5 sacks, 9.0 TFL, 87 tackles, and one interception in 13 games played.

Eagles vs. Chiefs Predictions and Pick

The Philadelphia Eagles hold a clear advantage heading into the Super Bowl against the Kansas City Chiefs. They possess unit versus unit matchup advantages on both sides of the ball and have more individual versus individual matchup advantages on both sides of the ball. Furthermore, the Eagles have an advantage in coaching, specifically in the area of game management. The experienced core of the Eagles team, recognizing the significance of the occasion, may prove to be the X factor in securing their victory.

Based on our analysis, we have selected the Philadelphia Eagles as the likely winner of the game and expect them to cover the spread of -1.5. Furthermore, we anticipate that the final score of the game will be under the posted total of 51 points.

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Author: Dan Smullen

Dan Smullen has been in the world of sports betting for over 10 years as an avid punter. He has placed wagers on all types of sports but NBA is by far his preference when betting on sports. Dan is obsessed with helping the average punter become more successful at sports betting through the assistance of good sports betting data analysis.