The first Cubs’ postseason game since the implementation of Illinois online sports betting didn’t go quite as planned for the many bettors who backed the local squad, but today is a new day, and the Cubs vs. Marlins betting odds suggest we could be in store for a decisive Game 3 on Saturday.
Indeed, the Cubs are a big Game 2 favorite as they attempt to exorcise their Marlins demons this afternoon at Wrigley Field. Will they do it and live to play another day? Let’s jump into it with our Cubs vs. Marlins betting preview with odds, picks, and predictions.
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Cubs vs. Marlins Game 2 Betting Preview
Let’s take a look at the Cubs vs. Marlins Game 2 matchup.
With the way Chicago’s offense is going at the moment, the Cubs will need a big-time performance from Yu Darvish to force a Game 3. It would seem they are turning to the right guy at the right time. Darvish was brilliant this season, producing an 8-3 record with a sterling 0.96 WHIP in a dozen starts. He has also had success against this current Marlins lineup, holding them to a collective .174 average, but he will need to turn around some uneven postseason numbers today. In six playoff starts, Darvish has compiled an uninspiring 5.81 ERA.
While he holds a distinct advantage in terms of playoff experience over Marlins rookie starter Sixto Sanchez, we learned in Game 1 that such experience doesn’t necessarily matter. It may not matter once again today because Sanchez, who I’m sure you have heard by now has drawn comparisons to Pedro Martinez, possesses simply electric stuff.
In seven starts this season, Sanchez went 3-2 with a 3.46 ERA. Despite featuring a fastball that can top out in the triple digits, Sanchez struck out a relatively modest 7.6 batters per nine innings during the regular season. Still, he held opposing hitters to a .643 OPS, even though he did struggle a bit over his final two starts in which he posted an 11.57 ERA.
Cubs vs. Marlins Odds
Let’s take a look at the Cubs vs. Marlins odds for Game 2. Note: the listed prices reflect DraftKings Sportsbook odds as of Friday morning and are subject to change leading up to first pitch.
Friday, October 2, 1:08 PM CDT
- Moneyline: Cubs (-200)/Marlins (+170)
- Over/Under: N/A
At the time of this post, oddsmakers had not yet committed to an over/under. Often, the unpredictable wind patterns of Wrigley Field cause a delay in setting a total.
Analysis: Some oddsmakers set the Cubs as high as -180 at open, and that number continues to rise as. Prior to Thursday’s scheduled game, the total climbed to -190. Following postponement, it is now all the way up to -200 at DraftKings. Even at such a high price, these odds are to be expected. As was the case ahead of Game 1:
- The Cubs are a high-profile team with a track record of success and big-name players.
- Meanwhile, the Marlins are an upstart that many baseball observers are stunned to see playing postseason.
- That upstart team pulled an upset in Game 1. No way they can win again and sweep this thing…right?
- Darvish, despite his postseason struggles, is an elite pitcher and enters this game with plenty of experience.
All of this being said, Sanchez has perhaps as high of a ceiling as any of baseball’s young pitchers and is more than capable of shutting down what has been an underperforming Chicago lineup. The lineup’s vulnerabilities and struggles were on full display in a quiet Game 1 loss in which they produced just one run.
Cubs vs. Marlins Betting Predictions and Pick
Betting Notes to Know
Here are some notes to consider as you evaluate the Cubs vs. Marlins odds and make your picks.
- The Cubs are 17-14 at home this season, including a 14-8 mark at home as a favorite.
- The Cubs are 9-5 at home this season as a favorite of more than -150.
- The Cubs were just 4-7 in home day games this season.
- Since 2007, the Cubs are just 9-13 in home playoff games and 6-9 as a home favorite.
- Home playoff teams favored between -185 and -200 are 8-6 (-$181) since 2007.
- Teams are 0-3 in Yu Darvish’s home playoff starts.
- The Cubs are 16-12 in Darvish’s starts as a home favorite.
Cubs vs. Marlins Game 2 Pick
Truthfully, the Cubs are here, in part, because Hendricks and Darvish were outstanding in 2020, but this isn’t a great team. They don’t hit, the bullpen is average, at best, and laying -200 on it in an empty Wrigley Field is insane.
That being said, I’m banking on Darvish on keeping an equally uninspiring Marlins team at bay. I’m also banking on Sanchez to flash his potential but struggle. While I simply refuse to pay such a high price on the Cubs to win, I’ll make a small play on the run line — not because I believe in the Cubs, but because I don’t believe in an average Marlins lineup, a rookie that has recently hit some bumps in the road, and a flat-out bad Miami bullpen.
Cubs vs. Marlins prediction: Cubs -1.5 (+110)
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